nycsnow

Just now, jdj5211 said:

RAP needs to come about 75 miles NW to be in the sweet spot.  Still holding firm on heaviest axis of snow through CNJ and LI

Maps?

Gfs looks fine bleeding stopped maybe a north bump at 00z… great for NYC LI again

Just now, forkyfork said:

imo i think the south bleeding finally stopped 

Agree. Do you think we see the typical bump north now before start time?

5 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Don't be surprised when the 00z runs end up even further South.

Most school districts around here have already called closings for tomorrow. 

I understand what the forecast was showing but there was no need to pull the trigger this early.

18z seems to held serve hopefully things hold or even tick north a bit at 00z

4 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

latest 20Z RAP at 10:1 ratio....heaviest snows remain through CNJ.  NY state basically a complete miss at this point

Still 8-12 nyc metro Long Island westchester 

NYC metro and li now have a little wiggle room, hopefully there is a little bump north to bring our friends up north back into it 

https://x.com/nwsboston/status/1757126669691941144?s=46

1 minute ago, ILoveWinter said:

Wouldn't be so bad for the immediate metro if this didn't also coincide with a weaker storm. Means little in the City without good rates even if in the main band of precipitation.

Models still show the heavy band but it’s over the city and cnj now 

4 minutes ago, Irish said:

Map?

HRR crushes metro area and cnj

1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

The mid level lows close off in a very good spot for heavy snow in our area. And the low is still deepening as it passes to our South. The system doesn't occlude until it's way up in Canada. 

Imagine we had a good airmass..

Gonna be a lot of power issues tomorrow as well with this paste job 

1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said:

See March storms, early April storms, and Nov 2018. 

I def remember some march storms sticking, I think Manhattan will be a lot of wet roads but in parts of Brooklyn queens esp Bronx and Staten Island you’ll see roads covered especially with heavy rates 

Even in flat out cold blizzards in NYC history you don’t see accumulation in Manhattan right away. 

I’ve lived in outer boroughs my whole life, if we get the rates it will accumulate on roads and sidewalks. Manhattan is toast but all this talk of wet roads is just flat out wrong lol it’s accumulated across NYC with marginal temps and heavy rates plenty of times 

Just now, MJO812 said:

0z will be big

Hopefully we can get 3-6 I’d be fine with that lol

Just now, uofmiami said:

 

Damn I was just posting this haha

3 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Euro had it

I meant more of the nws sorry, I checked they didn’t have it on point and click, Upton just added flurries 7-1 for here 

Boston getting some decent snow, not forecasted at all

Def some surprise light snow showing up hopefully it makes its way

1 minute ago, SBUWX23 said:

The limited accumulation is a direct result of the sun being clearly visible during the snow and the relatively low rates. If this were a heavier snow I don't think it would have been a problem. Sun angle really isn't an issue. There have been several events where it's in the 60s the day before a good snow here that continued through the daytime in February. 

Yup sun was out during heaviest rates of day up here 

Bad bust for Upton, 0 support for a winter weather advisory since yesterday 

Flurries now 0.0

Complete collapse of radar last few frames. Looks like it’s gonna be ending around here soon 

Suns basically out with moderate snow just wet ground