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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Bump
  2. WxUSAF
    I am shocked, SHOCKED to see the bullseye near @mappys house.
  3. WxUSAF
    It’s gonna snow
  4. WxUSAF
    Crushing 700mb frontogenesis band Sunday morning with 2”/hr rates.
  5. WxUSAF
    This is definitely true. Look at temps, snow growth, etc. But despite all our talk, we rarely get snow ratios outside a 8-12:1 range. With the look of the soundings we’ve seen on the NAM and even GFS, I don’t see this storm being different. So unless a storm probably has substantial sleet (not the case Sunday) then the 10:1 snow maps are probably decent.
  6. WxUSAF
    Well @MillvilleWx promised me 10” Sunday and I’m assuming the 10” on the EPS for me is all additional to that. Fun!!
  7. WxUSAF
    Heard something icy hitting the windows around 5am. Then rain. Nothing on the ground except my melting snowpack...
  8. WxUSAF
  9. WxUSAF
    Getting downtown DC below zero is probably like a 6 sigma event now. Double digits below zero?? Like 8 or 9 sigma??
  10. WxUSAF
    @mappys house? I mean the house always wins for a reason when the odds are stacked in their favor and there’s a finger on the scale. A thread the needle with meh airmass? I’m going for the far N/W burbs always. Maybe this is the exception, but I’ll believe that with Sunday’s 0z runs maybe.
  11. WxUSAF
    13-14 plus -NAO there. Got to keep that SE ridge/WAR or else it’s cold and dry. But verbatim that’s fun stuff.
  12. WxUSAF
    I really like @psuhoffmans house as the jackpot
  13. WxUSAF
    I would say still 90% snow cover
  14. WxUSAF
    RGEM actually does get snow into the metro area and MD.
  15. WxUSAF
    This a chip shot NAMing.
  16. WxUSAF
    Because 99% of people get wx info from phone apps that have no human input or those random talking heads. And when those things are wrong, it just feeds the never ending narrative of “THEY are never right”.
  17. WxUSAF
    Sorry folks, Chuck Bell says partly cloudy and 52 on Sunday on WTOP just now.
  18. WxUSAF
    I’ll take the over.
  19. WxUSAF
    Global models all suggesting overrunning chances second half of next week. Fun times with arctic air around. Just keep that boundary a bit south of us and don’t push it down to GA/SC.
  20. WxUSAF
    Honestly I think that’s quite possible. Good news here is that it’s only 72hrs away and there’s definitely fast flow, so hopefully not TOO far NW. @psuhoffman should be pretty stoked. I’d wager more on a typical fall line type of boundary here in snow amounts than a jackpot in southern MD.
  21. WxUSAF
    With a fast moving storm and a pretty mediocre stale airmass ahead, this is totally thread the needle. And I doubt we’re done with the NW trend.
  22. WxUSAF
    Euro blue at 72
  23. WxUSAF
    Well I guess 4” three days before 32” is forgettable.
  24. WxUSAF
    I have no memory of that Feb 2-3, 2010 event. I remember the Jan 30 event very well, loved it.
  25. WxUSAF
    Don’t harsh my NAM buzz dude!
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