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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Thankfully the RPM jackpots me so I’m hugging
  2. I like it for our backyards. Sleet line gets so close I'd probably be able to hear it.
  3. I'll feel comfortable with the 6z Thursday runs. Thankfully, I'll be asleep when they come out so oh well.
  4. For sure, especially this year. But we're ~36 hours out and still moving the right direction so far.
  5. The claw in precip total may be real, but you can really ignore the snow maps here. St. Mary's County isn't getting 14" of snow while Baltimore gets 8-10".
  6. Almost as cold as the Euro and wetter. Dang son.
  7. 850mb clearly colder on 18z vs 12z. Not a ton, but noticeable shift toward colder/SE solution. 700mb pretty much a wash across the region compared to 12z.
  8. With that initial WAA band pre-dawn Thursday, we get an extra 2-4", then another ~1" of snow, and then the sleet bomb (maybe 1-2" of sleet?). I'd take that verbatim.
  9. That initial WAA snowband on the 3k NAM was well into PA on 12z and now is just north of DC into MD with the 18z run.
  10. For sure. I expect that’s overdone, but teens for lows seems likely.
  11. Euro says single digits for everyone outside the city centers Sunday morning.
  12. 700 colder than 0z also. Still trending the right direction on euro at least with <48hrs to go.
  13. It’s a pretty weenie run for MD north of DC. Probably all snow or nearly all snow.
  14. The lack of torch days this month should help my tulip magnolia have a nice bloom later next month.
  15. Missing that WAA snow band on the NAMs is a key difference. GFS has that band right through DC. 0z Euro has some weak precipitation in PA where the NAM has it, but fills in the precip over us quickly as snow. That difference is likely driven by that 700mb jet streak @MN Transplant showed. NAM is wwwaayyyy further north with that then any other guidance.
  16. Hey, meant to ask: when do you think watches and warnings are hoisted???
  17. Good advice although doesn’t look like she took it?
  18. Not sure it was mentioned, but the 3k NAM is an absolute whiteout for the first 3 hours or so for DC north. Like 2”/hr before flipping to heavy sleet.
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