EastCoast NPZ
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Everything posted by EastCoast NPZ
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There are many contagious diseases. Does (or did) anyone ever leave their house?
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His point was you could make them 25mph zones in order to reduce traffic deaths to very low, but we don't (haven't) because the reward (lower deaths) isn't worth the risk( damage to economy, less freedom to travel, etc.).
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You realize that the interstate system was designed to speed the transport of goods and services, right? It's vital to the economy and a point of competition between economies.
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Well, the elderly shouldn't have had much stock exposure in their 401k in the first place. But this notion of shaming people for being concerned about it is laughable.
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Be careful. You're in danger of being accused about being concerned about your 401k and the welfare of your family.
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All I can say is go back and look at my original post.
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Thank you. I understand numbers and math.
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I said no such thing. I said it was ridiculous to suggest there is no calculus involved in the recovery from this. There is always a calculus...in almost everything we do. Life is an endless string of risk/reward decisions based on imperfect circumstances and options.
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Agree with you. But, as I said initially, there is a calculus.
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That is not my argument, and you know it. I work from home now from the most part. But, I go into the office when I must and continue to grocery shop with sensible precautions.
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Correct. We cannot stop the economy forever and force everyone into starvation. At some point, we will calculate the risk is worth the reward and move on.
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38000 annual deaths by auto accidents in US. 523 air craft deaths in 2018 (cant find numbers from 2019). How much control do you have over the operation, production, and maintenance of said buses, trains, cars, or planes? Yet, you ride in them, despite knowing there is a non-zero chance it results in your death.
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We can limit our risk of infection and still continue to live. The mass sickness risk to healthcare system is real and not being argued at this time.
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Well, it's not a 1 to 1 comparison. Just trying to point out that there is a risk calculus that must happen with COVID-19, because the IR is never gonna be zero. And just because people realize this doesn't mean they want granny to die.
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Agree...for the most part. But there will come a point when the balance will tip and we will have to move on.
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But the mortality rate is a % of the infected population. Changing the population changes the # of deaths, but doesn't necessarily change the mortality rate. We have a lot more control over the spread of this disease, and whether we get infected, than we do over the safety of a city bus, train, aircraft, or even an uber....among other things.
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The fact is that these are risks. As is travel to work, to vacation, to see loved ones. Cops, policemen, construction workers, etc face physical risks in their jobs every single day. Surgeries. Alcoholic beverages and junk foods. The list goes on and on. Each poses risk to us....every day. Yet, we willingly continue to face these risks.
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Definitely possible. Though I dont know how that would necessarily affect mortality rate, certainly reduces infection rate. But it's also likely the true mortality rate is lower as many get infected but had mild, or no, symptoms; thus, never get tested. And we still have many other environmental and specific job related risks that we face every day.
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Flus that kill 18000 people every year....SARS, MERS, etc. There are many contagious diseases that kill many people every year. This is worse than these, but is hardly our sole risk. Yet, we continue to live our lives, because we deem the rewards worth the risk. The calculus may change with this one, but to argue there is no calculus with a disease that has a mortality rate of less than 1% for those of healthy working age is a bit ridiculous.
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And why is that? What makes this different from many other communicable, or environmentally-acquired, diseases we risk exposure to in the course of our daily lives? What about the risks of travel and other job hazards? We can assign risk/reward to those, but not this?
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Snow shower in progress.
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Yeah, behaviors and culture will likely change a bit. Mass travel and venues will be the most affected IMO. Travel and entertainment may need to adapt.
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This perception that some magical cure treatment, or vaccine, is needed before economic activity can resume is pure fiction. No one shuttered their businesses out of fear of the virus; they were forced to by a government. Most people are not shuttered in their safe spaces out of fear of the virus; nothing is open for them to go do.
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People will adapt. Whether face masks become the norm, or not, people will quickly get on living.
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Have you been to Lowes recently?
