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Damage In Tolland

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Everything posted by Damage In Tolland

  1. I am on team Shabbs. The fact he is invested is VERY telling
  2. No one in the wx community or not would call or consider this a cool chilly summer . It simply wasn’t . It was warm and humid and wet .
  3. There’s no way you or anyone else knows how the pattern and storm track are going to evolve 9 days out. Right now anything is equally possible . And that is fact. No option is favored
  4. In the winter you’d have 14 animations showing a hit . And then it would miss . This is fascinating
  5. We question and call bluff https://x.com/tollandkev/status/1699548004951236820?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  6. Foliage season is going to be brutal. The wet humid summer already had the season as pastel and blights . Add in a cane throwing salt water way inland and leaf stripping and tree damage. There may not be one at all
  7. That’s what Shabbs always tells . HDD and CDD. Who cares if temps were -1 if it’s humid? That’s why no one cares about tenps. It’s dews
  8. No one said they did . But there is a vast misconception that it was cool summer . It was not
  9. The mean continues shifting west on both EPS and GEFS
  10. Yes it was. The degree days spell it out . We had a 5-6 week period of some of the highest consistent dews our region has ever seen . The fact that June and Aug show pretty blue doesn’t mean it was a cool chilly summer
  11. Each run farther west . Things you love to see
  12. This was a warm humid summer . The silly blues in June don’t account for the actual degree days and cooling data
  13. Maybe we’ll get back to back cat 3 -4 hits from both in SNE!
  14. See summer / fall of 38’ leading up to cane. Interesting correlation to this year
  15. The pieces are there … in one big chess game ….
  16. Which is why we’ve seen the continued west trend each set of ensemble runs . Stronger riding and trough backing west. Tit for tat. Still a bit of work and bumping.. but 9 days out much can happen
  17. Doesn’t a stronger storm help flex the ridge which in turn should buckle the trough west and sharper? There seems a direct correlation. Whereas a cat 1 would be much less likely to do that
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