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GrandmasterB

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Everything posted by GrandmasterB

  1. GrandmasterB
    The precip shield on the NAM at 51 is quite impressive. Snow back to Pittsburgh and State College. Not really close to the Euro in terms of precip shield west of Philly.
  2. GrandmasterB
    The GFS solution went from weenie wishcasting to having the NAM and SREFS on its side plus the AI’s are just a little too east with the coastal (but have trended west). Euro and UKIE with no coastal storm impact. We pretty much get another day of constant model watching one way or the other!
  3. GrandmasterB
    Just sit back and enjoy the chaos at this point!
  4. GrandmasterB
    From NE forum “GEFS west at 78”. That’s wild considering what I posted earlier.
  5. GrandmasterB
    GFS not letting up
  6. GrandmasterB
    Currently yes but PSUHoffman was pushing it earlier too. We really want both as far west as possible.
  7. GrandmasterB
    One thing annoying me in the MA thread is the “it’s only the IVT giving us snow.” They’re connected. The strength and location of the coastal impacts the IVT. One works off the other. I don’t think we are relying 100% on the IVT and 0% coastal low influence.
  8. GrandmasterB
    Yeah, I got you. I’m just going full weenie mode to reel this storm in. You have logic and I’m going with wishcasting I’m also like 6 beers deep
  9. GrandmasterB
    I’m not fully convinced GFS goes east based on its 18Z ensembles. We will find out shortly!
  10. GrandmasterB
    RGEM well west vs its 18Z run
  11. GrandmasterB
    Insane ensemble graphic for 78 hours out
  12. GrandmasterB
    24 hours ago the NAM had a low moving east off Jacksonville.
  13. GrandmasterB
    I’ve been on the road traveling for work this week, but the tracking for this event has been wild. Check out the Euro AI on TT and how much the coastal low moved northwest vs 12Z. This season has not disappointed on the tracking front!
  14. GrandmasterB
    That would be great for us verbatim. Significant CCB, comma-head action.
  15. GrandmasterB
    Early worry (of which I’ll have many!) is that a miller B type evolution will trend towards a later transfer and a northeast bullseye solution over time. Of course, it’s just one worry and it’s early yet.
  16. GrandmasterB
    Would love to do another long track storm. Sign me up!
  17. GrandmasterB
    I thought 500 was a bit improved with a faster phase, but as you show the surface was about the same really.
  18. GrandmasterB
    I don’t disagree, but the current solution as modeled is better than the precip missing us to the south by 300 miles. At least we have a shot with the precip now.
  19. GrandmasterB
    All good. Just busting some chops!
  20. GrandmasterB
    Today is Mickey’s day to shine!
  21. GrandmasterB
    Could be an interesting day of model watching.
  22. GrandmasterB
    Snow up to State College on the NAM
  23. GrandmasterB
    SREFs with an uptick in precip vs. prior run for those looking for model support. (But yes it’s the SREF)
  24. GrandmasterB
    GFS brushes us southern folks
  25. GrandmasterB
    With the OP Euro being decent and some of the ensembles interested, I think I can emotionally invest in this one. At least until TimB5412487 comes in and tells me the latest model is way south and weak.
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