Jns2183

I'm thinking we hit 2.5" unless some backbuilding occurs. I really have no idea. Every meso was out to lunch in there own way. Props to NWS for falling back on good old analysis and not budging when a few mesos wanted to give Waynesboro less than a 0.25". No one is going to be able to pinpoint huge convective totals, but it was funny this morning seeing Twitter weather folk takes on all this. What's nuts is outside philly already got smoked by morning convection. There was one young meteorologist from Cornell that his senior project all about the great floods of northeast and Mid-Atlantic that put his neck out about what he thought purely based on dynamics and history, saying this might be the closest event as compared to Irene and Lee the whole area has had since those events. It's not there yet, but it sure is trending there in some places. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Over 1.5". Flash flood warning now Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Just went over 1" all in last 30min Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Error. It's at the end of it's useful range. Hence why that Lancaster radar will be so so vital. Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

This is neat Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

We have convergence of two lines of storms right over us currently Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Double blue circle Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Someone please tell me what mesos wunderground basis there hourly forecast on because this is just comical. Enjoy your 0.10" of rain Waynesboro Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Dark all around me Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Its 82 with a dp of 73 Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

The sun is out,I am surrounded by dark clouds Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

When storms are dropping 2"-4" per hour all you need is 30 min to reach forcasts Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Watch is out. Sun is out Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

They are going up everywhere right now Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

You look to be ground zero soon. Let us know how the thunder/lightning is Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I haven't scene a single meso that at this hour was accurately predicting ground truth via radar Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

@Coop_Mason probably would have the best answer Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I know have a 10-15 mph wind from the southeast that's ramped up as that storm around new Bloomfield exploded. I actually can see the towers from the small clearing in the clouds. Any heating will make this more interesting from a severe point of view Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I believe the rains will be convective based. But we have all scene the meso model dance this summer. It's basically a 90's throwback party to models and snowstorms Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I've wondered what the closest an area with D2 has been to an area with no drought Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

I looked at YTD rainfall from 6 stations within a 5 mile radius of me. The lowest was 15.16". Highest was 20.56". I had 3 stations below 16", 2 almost at 18", and highest above 20". Quite the spread Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Thru Tuesday Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

CTP Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

NAM 3K, NAM 12K, RGEM Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Looks like we steam bath today will no relief. CTP still calling for 1"-1.5"+ for tomorrow Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk