snowlover2
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Everything posted by snowlover2
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Impressive deform band.
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Looks like deform band starts cranking up sooner on the 3k NAM.
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0z NAM has a low traveling through TN and rain up to I-70. Just don't buy the rain/snow line that far north with that low position.
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Sitting at 6.5" so far. Easily the best storm in years.
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Got 4" here with steady light snow.
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It's filling back in.
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The near 4 year warning drought for Dayton is over!!!
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Snow continues in S IN/S OH after this so the first shade of green makes it into SW OH and the second shade of green into S IN.
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OP NAM has been killing the snow much faster than any of the other models. 0z 3K NAM has 4-5" for central OH and up to 6" my way. 0z RGEM which only goes to 48 hours is very 3k like. Seems a good bet OP NAM is shutting off snows to quick.
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3k NAM doesn't kill off the snow anywhere near as fast as the OP. Results in better totals farther east.
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Its going to be Saturday early morning when it starts around here so I can understand the holding off. They will likely issue that at the 4am update tonight or if the 0z runs continue what appears to be a trend today increasing amounts they might go right to a warning without the watch. It's happened many times here in the past.
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ILN issued WSWatch for the lower criteria counties around and including Cincy.
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18z FV3
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12z FV3 just starting to roll now.
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Don’t think 12z is out yet.
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Generally the same as the 18z run but a touch north with the higher totals in Ohio.
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I see FV3 is loading again although its still on 0z but it's amped up too along with NAM/Euro.
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Hour 84 and snowfall to that point.
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0z NAM continues to look amped.
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So saw this 18z FV3 QPF map posted. It seems to be in the NAM camp with a large 1.00" QPF area meaning likely a large 10"+ snow area.
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Already classified as EF1.
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Lost count how many times in the past that was said only for the NAM to verify.
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0z Euro didn't weaken the snow as fast as it moved east leading to slightly higher totals for IN/OH. 4-8" for S IL/MO, 3-4" east to Indy and 1-2" east through Ohio.
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0z FV3
