Jump to content

weatherwiz

Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    77,020

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    If that is legit we are in for some big trouble
  2. weatherwiz
    ummm hello
  3. weatherwiz
    Should this verify there is going to be some widespread damage with a few embedded tornadoes
  4. weatherwiz
    extrapolated SLP of 985mb found
  5. weatherwiz
    First two of 2020 for CT! Let's add several more tomorrow
  6. weatherwiz
    There goes our jet streak. Should continue to strengthen
  7. weatherwiz
    Wow hurricane winds a bit far into the NE part
  8. weatherwiz
    Yeah for sure...probably could extend that area to Long Island and southern CT...maybe even a bit farther inland into CT. If we do see gusts 60-70 mph...even if that magnitude only lasts a couple hours...that's going to do significant damage given the fully leaved trees. I mean look at what 50-60 mph winds do during thunderstorms here and those winds maybe last for what...a few minutes? I guess thankfully the ground is dry
  9. weatherwiz
    21z RPM actually hints at hurricane-force winds possible along the NJ coast. Actually is a bit impressive with winds well inland across CT. But why does the scale max out at 50 knots?
  10. weatherwiz
    well recon's first pass was impressive...hurricane force winds
  11. weatherwiz
    yes but we're talking about with tropical...it's exceedingly rare to get a ENH with a tropical system b/c the main threat is tornadoes and you would need a 10% TOR contour to get ENH and that doesn't happen very often
  12. weatherwiz
    I can only recall a couple times over the past several years where it's happened. I think it actually may have occurred last season? Maybe it was with Michael
  13. weatherwiz
    Let's 10% TOR this tomorrow. Hey Alex, I'll take ENH for $1000
  14. weatherwiz
    18z NAM BDL at 8:00 AM. CAPE continue to looking very impressive. Def have to wonder if we see an upgrade to an enhanced risk...maybe even see wind probs of 30% if signal for convection persists 3:00 PM lapse rates (3:00 PM)
  15. weatherwiz
    Actually has some decent TOR potential well into NH and even parts of ME
  16. weatherwiz
    Looks like a window from 5-10 AM and then another maybe 4-8 PM. HRRR looks like it's going to be wild with wind
  17. weatherwiz
    yeah it does appear as if it will stop ingesting dry air shortly...or very little. Where landfall happens will be big too...obviously the longer the eye stays over the water the greater the chance for strengthening but in this situation the longer it stays over water the closer to we towards sunset/evening when convection can start to increase.
  18. weatherwiz
    starting to see some overshooting tots on satellite
  19. weatherwiz
    the 18z HRRR has some nasty looking discrete cells moving through early tomorrow AM
  20. weatherwiz
    If it did get higher than a cat 1 we would be in deep trouble But I doubt so too...I'm thinking maybe 80-85 mph?
  21. weatherwiz
    crap...you're right. well I'm kinda glad about that
  22. weatherwiz
    I'm still bit nervous for further strengthening...it's in an area where if it strengthens it could take off. Obviously there is no model support for that but given how it's holding it's own as the shear weakens and it becomes more favorably aligned with the shear...who knows what could happen.
  23. weatherwiz
    IR doesn't look very good but visible seems to be looking better...hmmm
  24. weatherwiz
    they're just waiting for the real playoffs to start
  25. weatherwiz
    Get to watch the Bruins tomorrow and trees flying through the air.
×
×
  • Create New...