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Posts posted by weatherwiz

  1. Just now, ORH_wxman said:

    I do miss the days before clown maps. Focusing on the precip and midlevel temps/track made people think a little more about the model runs.

    They should be banned from model output. 

  2. Just now, OceanStWx said:

    I'm (hopefully) applying to a boatload of Hazardous Weather Testbed and Spring Forecast Experiment opportunities at OUN this spring, so let's rock. 

    They're doing a radar applications course on new tornado and meso detection algorithms, a satellite applications course, a course on probabilistic warnings, and then the Spring Forecast Experiment which is more of a research to operations. 

    That sounds pretty exciting!

    I'm actually strongly considering pursuing masters in the fall...doing the online route at Mississippi State. Some of the classes offered look like a ton of fun 

  3. 3 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

    It was definitely consistent for 3-4 days a week to 10 days ago for this coming week and then it 180’d.  I think we need to see it get inside day 10 to be confident 

    I wonder why when we seem to get inside a certain time frame we see these major certainly doesn't happen every time but it always seems like we get inside this magic number and poof...a complete 180 happens. 

    Is it perhaps that everything is being sampled better? Perhaps its a parameterization  function (outside of a certain time range doesn't the parameterization schemes change?)? Or maybe its a type of bias resulting from the ensemble mean smoothing key features just a bit too much? 


  4. Going to have to start looking into how the pattern is going to be come spring. I sure hope it's one that favors active severe wx in the Plains...if I go to OK and nothing happens I'm going to be a bit upset. 

  5. 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    Nice sunrise on the Gray NWS camera


    wow that's pretty nice!

    One hobby I want to get into is photography...I can't wait until the summer when we get the early sunrises and I get to watch the sun rise going into work...epic. I'm going to get a dash-cam too (mainly for storm chasing) but use it on mornings the sun rise will be epic. 

  6. 1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

    Every model ensemble show a better pattern for the start of February.

    Another head fake or finally a true change ?

    When it's consistent for 3-4+ days then it can be considered a potential true change 

  7. 10 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

    I’m unsure. But to me what’s important is Canada in general is torched but the only region showing negative Temp anomalies at 850 and surface is QC. Current guidance has that cold easily eroding but I don’t think that gets scoured so quickly/easily and instead we see a more pronounced CAD drain...

    This is actually hinted at pretty well with the latest NAM