OceanStWx
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Everything posted by OceanStWx
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LLJ definitely spends more time over your fanny than ACK.
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I gave you a number for ORH you clown
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I mean 80s look pretty good considering the core of the jet isn't forecast to really hammer down until 03-06z there.
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They had a peak wind gust just after 11 am of 48 knots (55 mph).
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CWOP in Truro 71 mph
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Their website has their Davis obs current, but I'm not getting it into AWIPS.
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Gusting to 40 mph right now, and still have several hours until the worst of it arrives.
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Inversion is a little stronger than modeled at GYX based off the 18z runs. NAM is probably the closest (a hair stronger than observed) but still rips off a few 35 kt gusts at the office.
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Starting to see the dunes gusting over 50 knots. I see a 56 kt out there.
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Given the strength and angle of that LLJ, I feel like Blue Hill is primed to rip off a big gust.
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Messing around with available guidance I think they have a shot to go over. I'd peg their peak wind gust around 47 knots if I had to pick a number right now.
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I think over.
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This is a situation where I hope the RAP soundings are a little overmixed (as is its bias) because otherwise they show some real nasty potential (like October 2017).
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ISON3 and MDRM1 C-Man stations along the coast are already gusting above 40 kt. They should be cranking over 60 kt gusts by 03z tonight.
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Euro/Eta combo there.
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No joke. That's a wild run.
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I think a lot of the interior is likely to do better when the CAA kicks in Wed and erodes the inversion, winds go north.
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Scooter blown to South Weymouth?
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I actually think for those near the track of this meso low that it could be some "holy shit, what just happened?" while outside of that path it's just a typical strong nor'easter. The Cape forecast should be three buns hanging off the flagpole.
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LLJ over 70 knots for CHH for like 18 hours at least.
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Looks like the eyewall closes off before it makes landfall on ACK. But for real that's an outrageous run. Rakes all of SE New England with some big wind. Some of those dunes on the outer Cape would be rocking 80 mph.
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Almost shelved the wine for Spooky Substance this week. It's a shame all the acorns this event will shake down onto your lawn.
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Wind gusts are always an order of magnitude higher than the ABV.
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Gotta mix it out for the interior to really roar.
