MGorse

14 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Any reports from Philly, proper, yet?  Haven't noticed any in this thread.  Thanks.  

Have not really seen any yet.

12 minutes ago, BBasile said:

Why bother asking?

Because you said 'heavy snow' and I was curious about the visibility. Just wanted to double check. Carry on...

2 minutes ago, BBasile said:

Maybe.  I don't have a clear view out to 1,320 feet, but I did take my drone up and I couldn't see RT 42 in Washington Township, which is about 800 ft away.  

Observations under that enhanced area of snow on the radar are no where near 1/4 mile in snow. It is snowing pretty good under that here at the office, but visibility is above 1 mile.

1 minute ago, BBasile said:

Probably.  

Hmmm, I am guessing not.

Just now, RedSky said:

Website just updated from afternoon forecast

 

Odd as I saw it updated earlier.

7 minutes ago, BBasile said:

Currently, heavy snow.  Everything but pavement is covered.   32.3F  

The visibility 1/4 mile or less?

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

NWS is broken no evening forecast 

Huh?

5 hours ago, ChescoWx said:

This is a classic GFS snow model map with 30 inches at PHL to 50+ inches for the heart of South Jersey - book it!!

 

Probably a few inches on the high side. 

25 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Aaaand it's gone

 

Shocking! 

2 minutes ago, steve392 said:

What are the tan areas by Passaic county? 

Hazardous Weather Outlook issued by NWS Upton.

3 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Watch now posted for NW NJ counties. 

Thinking 1 to maybe 3" especially non paved surfaces at my location just a tad above 1000'.

Advisory not a Watch.

3 hours ago, Albedoman said:

Thaks Mike but a case in point? what if numerous lighting strikes were around? Would that enhance the probability of rapid fire spread as well? I know red flag warnings are for high wind but what about other natural weather features like lighting have any effect on issuing a red flag warning.  It almost seems that the ignition sources and their amounts must have a play in this somewhere for issuing red flag warnings. 

Lightning, at least in our area, does not really start most wildfires especially since we typically don’t deal with dry lightning. The majority of fires around here are caused by humans. 

53 minutes ago, Albedoman said:

from the drought guy.  This a first for me guys  please foward this to MT Holly. How dry is it?  Enough low humidity to intiate spontaneous combustion. Red flag warnings really should be issued again MT Holly. This came as an alert to me a few minutes ago. 

 

Hello Lower Macungie Township Residents, The yard waste recycling center located at 5536 Indian Creek Road will be closed today, Friday November 15th.  The mulch pile is currently emitting spontaneous flames and in order to maintain public safety, the site will be closed for the day.  We sincerely apologize for the inconvenience.

 

 

 

NWS Mount Holly knows how dry it is, and the Fire Weather Watch has been upgraded to a Red Flag Warning for Saturday. As a reminder/FYI, the NWS fire weather products are for rapid fire spread and not for fires starting.

Drought Warning for NJ. 

A total of 0.22 inches of rain at my house Sunday night. Rippage.

A whopping trace of rain here this morning. 

31 for a low at my place early this morning, and yup still very dry.

10 hours ago, JTA66 said:

I think Mike should unplug the Cherry Hill radar and save Mt Holly a few bucks on this month’s electric bill.

My creek is bone dry. I’m making a point to top off the birdbath every few days to help the critters. Even the deer are approaching the house to drink from it.

There is a radar in Cherry Hill? 

Low temperature of 37 here early this morning. 

Trace of rain so far. Unreal! 

31 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Hey how about those thunderstorms today with hail that rocked the area how did that pan out?

Yeah how about that? 

3 hours ago, Kevin Reilly said:

Total rain here 0.05" not one drop of rain overnight.  I guess we were stuck in the subsidence area between bands.  Currently 74f humidity 96% dewpoint 73f.   

I don’t think it was subsidence, but more of the system being weaker and less organized. 

0.04” total. Unreal! 

Showers better increase big time overnight! A whopping 0.03 inches today here so far. 

3 hours ago, Albedoman said:

Folks, why is MT Holly keep predicting 20% chance of showers the last two days when in fact there is currently nothing currenlty on the radar in the entire state of PA?  Why even mention in showers in the forecast? There is no convective forces even in the area and capes are not being broken.

Perhaps be more patient. Some convection has developed in eastern PA toward northern NJ.