MGorse

58 mph gust at the KPNE airport. 

Severe thunderstorm warning here now. 

5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Once it gets there, it's there. Longest thunderstorm in quite a while around here and still going full throttle. The lightning has been a blast...

Looking forward to it! 

Seeing this convection on radar drifting east is like watching paint dry. Still waiting for rain here. 

Backdoor front just blew through here. Temperature went from 75 to 61 in a matter of minutes. A gusty northeast wind as well ongoing. Reached 81 this afternoon. 

37 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Long cold slog after next Monday on the GFS hope it's way overboard with that

Could be its cold bias showing up, but we shall see.

Picked up 0.67 inches of rain yesterday. 

39 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Good heavy moderate stuff going on, still waiting for the wind to kick in. Radar to the West looks pretty damn good also... Thinking an inch plus.

The strong winds are not until very late tonight and tomorrow. 

8 hours ago, KamuSnow said:

You can be drought guy junior!

No thanks!

3 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

Where is drought guy to give his thoughts on yesterday’s rain?

1.61” of rain here today. Much needed! 

1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

little bandlettes

New phrase? 

10 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

Yeah I know, I'm just sick of hearing it...

I-95 corridor, I-95 corridor...   

2 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

"I-95 corridor"

 

 

At least that one is describing an area.

1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

So has the term "event"...

And the word "alert"...

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Agreed. This is just the last of the ull pass correct? I didn't see a norlun/iv trof signature unless I read the plots wrong.

A sharp upper-level trough passing overhead this afternoon with some enhanced convergence in the low to mid levels.

51 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Maybe this can stall fill in and norlun trough the area to death

Norlun trough has become an overused phrase over the last few years.

47 minutes ago, penndotguy said:

Might be headed up to Redfield NY Saturday morning to help dig out a friends Cabin, supposedly they have near 160” snow so far this year. I’ll take some pics if we go 

You might need to take one of these up with you. 

And the 18z NAM is a tad different. LOL. The main light snow is now focused with the upper-level energy arriving.

18 minutes ago, Chadzachadam said:

Quite likely! And to be fair he didn't mention the 12z NAM specifically, just said he suspected the precip shield might extend further west in this setup than the global models are suggesting verbatim. NAM is probably just over-amped like usual

Bernie is good at what he does. I used to work with him back in the day. Agree that the NAM is probably overdone with the amplification. 

21 minutes ago, Chadzachadam said:

Bernie Rayno thinks the 12z NAM might be onto something

Or it could be completely wrong.

Apparently the 12z NAM (12km) is seeing something for Thursday that all the other models are not. I picked the wrong week to stop sniffing glue. 

18 minutes ago, RedSky said:

How is it still only 35F

I still have my glacier 

 

Surface warm front still to your south and east. 

11 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

33 f, rain

Wonderful right? 

41 minutes ago, wkd said:

Thanks Mike,

Off topic, but is Ray Martin still with you guys. I really miss his winter weather publications that so many refer to.

He is.