Sn0waddict

Lol at the random heavy snow band over nyc at hr 72, that would be entertaining if it came to fruition.

18z RGEM looks nice. Good front end thump. Keep lower level cold locked in for longer too.

21 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Eventually some light-mod snow at 81 but wouldn't be a big deal. Surface temps in the upper 20s so at least a mood covering.

That’s a really nice look at the end of the run. A stationary strengthening low sitting SE of LI with an expanding precipitation shield. Looks moderate to heavy to me too. Not sure how anyone could have an issue with that.

Just now, NYCweatherNOW said:

That’s a great track for heavy snow. 850’s never go above freezing in nyc

What about 900-925? I believe that is where we will have the most issues.

Tough time believing those maps given the track. But Euro has sort of been all over the place with this too, so I wouldn’t fret too much.  Where the low retrogrades is a huge question mark still.

1 minute ago, redbanknjandbigbasslakepa said:

NAM pulls the rug out. 

More like it gets kicked off of a cliff.

Woah euro is way better 

I’ll take gfs at hr 162 please.

1 hour ago, LibertyBell said:

I'm planning a trip to Northeastern PA- does early Thanksgiving morning sound like a bad day to travel?  I wanted to go when the roads weren't busy but the weather also needs to be good.  What about really early Wednesday morning (like around 9 AM.)

Where in northeastern PA? My fiancée had family up there, just a bunch of farmland. Good place for snow though lol

38 minutes ago, Snow88 said:

I guess the snow is about done for NYC 

 

HRRR fail

Wouldn’t really say HRRR fail, it pointed out that the precip would backfill in the first place, most other models had no snow.

As others have been reporting, first snowflakes of the season here. 

Hrrr seems to want to almost backfill a bit and give us all some light snow. radar seems to be reflecting that as well.

13 minutes ago, snowman21 said:

Some people forget the 200 days a year the model correctly predicts partly cloudy and 67 from 5-7 days out, and inside 3 days the big models are almost 90% in getting the high temperature right.

More so people don’t care when models correct north or south with a rainstorm during the spring/summer. But in the winter a storm trend of 25 miles north can make  all the difference.

Here comes the wind, just increased a lot the past 10 mins or so.

72/67 here. Feels like a mid August night. House temp into the 70s.

67/46 and sunny here.  What a day.

Looks like the back side is coming through Greenwich/Stamford. Wind is really picking up there again. 

1 minute ago, WinterWolf said:

I know that’s exactly what I was thinking...that place is a pit for wind???

Definitely wasn’t anything like that when it rolled through milford hah though we did hear a transformer blow a few neighborhoods down towards the beginning of the storm

Looks like that will about do it for the rain here. Solid storm so far, about 5k without power in UI territory so far.

Lots of rain to my west and north, nothing here though. Almost like a dry slot until that stuff south of LI gets up here.

Both NAMs appeared to come in a little weaker/further east with landfall.  

On 10/9/2019 at 1:35 AM, KoalaBeer said:

I love New Englands variable climate, but these are the days I miss living in Denver. 

 

Yesterday afternoon they went from 75F, 5mph wind to 51F an hour later with 51 mph winds and gusts to 64... then down to 33F a couple hours after that. Man that would be cool to experience. 

51 and rain after hitting 89 yesterday. Bleh.

54 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

We uninstall and light pilots. Was  a fantastic summer started Memorial day weekend until today. Warm COC June, Hot July with only a couple of HHH days, warm COC Aug and a normal Sept with nice warm days and lots of ocean swells. Over 20 beach days. Fantastic 

So much better than last summer. 

1 hour ago, snowman21 said:

I'd rather HVN than GON.

X2.