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Ralph Wiggum

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Posts posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. On 10/4/2021 at 9:57 PM, RedSky said:

    Endless summer! As long as it gets cool for Halloween.

     

    "Cool" for Halloween is fine. Cold, not so much. This normal to even AN October so far coupled with the same outlook for at least the next 2 weeks bodes well for winter. I have compiled quite a bit of data for the upcoming winter outlook which I will delve into later in the month. Anyone watching the expanse and depth of snow-cover in Siberia and N Mongolia? 

    • Weenie 1
  2. 1 minute ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

    Stay safe.  That was probably the only thing to get you out of summer hibernation. ;)

    Summer living like a hermit... counting wooly caterpillar hairs, tracking tradewinds variations, and preparing for a very cold winter as I crochet extra afghan blankets, cut firewood, and skin local Buffalo for warm hide. 

    • Haha 1
    • Weenie 2
  3. 43 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

     

     

     

    And here we are, getting closer and closer.

    Currently overcast, with some breaks here and there, misty and wet as well (although not enough to tip the bucket) and 74 with dp 70.

    055528_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

    092851_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

    6z guidance from NAM to RGEM to hurricane guidance all well West and really closing in on a LI hit now but the trend farther S and W each run continues. Even gets banding deep into SEPA now as it pivots.

  4. 9 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

    12z GEFS is pretty interesting wrt Henri. There's a cluster of members that bring it into the Jersey shore now. Big time west trend over the last 24 hours. The storm looks to be getting it's act together now. Seems like the stronger members are further west while the weaker one's stay off to the east. Who here has a shore house I can ride out the storm at :lol::P

     

    gfs-ememb_lowlocs_us_18.png

    GFS is either going score a massive victory this week over the hurricane guidance or be put to shame again in typical USA model fashion.

  5. 2 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

    My buddy Chris Sowers has some 50's/40's next week and maybe a mix Friday morning... call Ji and wake Ralph from hibernation? Seriously next week says screw you to Spring...

    https://6abc.com/weather/accuweather-unsettled-week-ahead/49644/

    I'm not hibernating. I lurk all year. I only really post in the winter tho. And this BN temp stretch shouldn't be a shock given the blocking pattern that wants to lock-in as per ens means. This is great grass-growing wx for my newly planted seed!

  6. Have a feeling we aren't done with winter just yet. GFS op, GEFS, GEPS, GFS para, and EPS all liking the period March 13-20 for a backdoor front followed by a fluke event with an interesting setup overall (-PNA with tpv lobes spiraling around just to our N and several waves coming out of the SW and S Plains). Something to watch. I still enjoy watching it fall, even better overnight this time of year and seeing the landscape when the sun first rises. Heck, I've even enjoyed the couple of daytime April snows we had over the past decade. 

    • Like 8
  7. 46 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

    Bro, do you even remember 3/21/18? 3-4 hours of heavy, wet thundersnow. I don't know how any snow lover couldn't root for that... That was a top ten storm of my life, who cares if it melted two days later? 

    Exactly! And unless March rogue storms deliver 10" or more, you usually dont even need to shovel or snowblow. Euro control and gfs para also sniffing out some potential between March 14-March 21. Chances are low as always in March but every so often (2018 etc) one pops up and delivers.

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