Ralph Wiggum

14 minutes ago, CoolHandMike said:

Not seeing it...?

Ditto. That might be the ultimate jinx to start one then delete it? 

2 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

30F/Shaded areas holding on...

30F in Telford...still full snow cover here. Home in Warminster just patchy areas remain.

Groundhog > Weeklies/Ens ?

2 hours ago, Terpeast said:

Looks familiar. Where have I seen this before?

Before I went on my rant in early Feb then subsequently took some time away, I noted in the Philly forum to tread lightly with the weeklies and the epic looks. Of course I got booed off the forum even suggesting that. But in all seriousness I will reiterate what I did at that time. Many of these extended products are heavily weighted on past analogs when there are rolled out. So if a group of indices like the QBO, PDO, enso etc match a particular year (let's use 2010 as an example because this year had many similar key features), then the weeklies would tend to spit out something similar that transpired during those analog years. Not saying this is sole reason we got the head fake, but partly is due to this, of that I have no doubt. Many of us actually discussed this in the past and there is truth to the algorithms involved in creating an extended product. Now could I tell you which specific products use more of the analog data? No, I dont have that I fo, but maybe a red tagger would?

3 hours ago, blizzardmeiser said:

March will be a daffodil destroyer and crocus crusher.   

Magnolia mauler?

3 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

With a +QBO 90% likely, no less. That with Stronger La Nina favors +AO conditions, and I'm just saying the last time we had that happen it hit 80 degrees in January.. that's kind of a baseline, although of course it could get cooler/colder at times. 

I'm pulling for mid 90s next January. At least. 

5 hours ago, RedSky said:

Sun angle feels like April what is going on lol

5 hours ago, Birds~69 said:

I've noticed this the past week or so while driving. So damn bright and drilling to my eyes for, not even, mid-Feb. WTF? This stuff usually doesn't affect me till early-mid March at the earliest...

39F/partly sunny

Was just talking about this with someone. They noticed the past few years the sun's rays have felt hotter. I noted that I also sensed that. Wonder if there is something to this?

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

No rest for the weary weenies GFS has a 1-3" refresher clipper on Saturday 

Another good week of winter to match January's can it be?

 

CMC was damn close to a MECS at the end of the run. 

2 hours ago, jhotdog said:

Hey Ralph. I live 2 minutes from Telford. Roads r horrible up here. Took my wife 45 minutes to go 2 miles. Cars r stuck everywhere. Roads r not plowed. Just trying to give u a heads up

Yep, took me a while. 309N shut down. Eyeballing looks like 6-6.5 in telford.

Just hit 4" snow accumulation in Warminster. 32F

Puking snow now. Highest rates in quite a while. Closing in on 2"

Snowing sideways moderate+ here. Wind is starring to rip. Inflatable snowman living his best life in the yard. 31F

5 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

This will be a 2"+ batch that's going to roll through soon....going to be cool along w/the wind.

32F

We r in the line of fire. Heaviest band setting up pretty much over us maybe a hair N if you do a loop and look at the axis starting to pivot and deform band beginning to form.    

Mashed potatoes raining down from the sky. 32F

A driving sleet storm currently in Warminster. 33F.

@Birds~69 latest mesos have you and I at ground zero. Good luck! Can't wait to drive to Telford at 830 

Rgem is a beatdown

Not sure if anyone else has this in their bookmarks, but for us old heads you can relive the glory days of the local on the 8's from TWC with the same theme music:

https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/

Just now, RedSky said:

Dude we stealing other regions snow, we will have to go into hiding after this

Shit, we are and always have been a snow-region. No shame in our game.

Both wrf's way south and colder:

Eta: top map is 12z....savor it anyway

2 minutes ago, ChescoWx said:

Latest HRRR if you choose to believe increases totals from 0z to 1z.. and not yet done....yep I know it's a reach!

Tuckerton, NJ / Little Egg Harbor jackpot 2 straight runs 

1 minute ago, LVblizzard said:

Latest HRRR ups you to 7.9”!

Looking more and more like a general widespread 4-8". I consider that damn good. And we have wsw's. 

48 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

Here’s the HRRR. The RAP is similar.

I will take my 7.2" of snow and call it a winter.

Just like claiming victory prematurely I probably shouldnt accept failure yet, but my thinking that this was too early in the pattern change and SE PA would be close but no cigar looks like an epic fail. But those are the fails I like...so yeah.

5 minutes ago, RedSky said:

DT had to redo his last call map lol

It's good for us

 

Pics or it didn't happen