ncskywarn

Hour 96 Just off shore near the NC/SC state line.

Stalls just off the NC coast near Sneads Ferry at hour 60 until it starts moving SW at hour 84.

Stalls just off the NC coast near Sneads Ferry at hour 60 until it starts moving SW at hour 84.

GFS is a touch NE at hour 36.

GFS is a touch NE at hour 36.

GFS is running almost smack dead on top of 18Z at hour 24.

GFS is running just a tad South of 18Z at hour 12

3 minutes ago, PressureDrop2017 said:

The GFS 18Z model looks like the cartoon physics of a bouncy-ball hitting North Carolina and rebounding onto South Carolina. Or as if calculated to be the most insulting and disastrous path for South Carolinans who had thought they would be spared. Intuitively looking at that track people would say "that's absurd", but I guess there are some unusually complex systems besides the cyclone, affecting this one  

Look at the 12Z Euro very similar. Except the Euro take it SW then landfall near the GA/SC border then takes it WNW to north of Atlanta. 

GFS brings Florence back at D9. Has it redeveloping and landfall on FL/GA line on day 13 lol

3 minutes ago, wake4est said:

The gfs has it redevolping after it leaves land off of nc and aims AGAIN towards SC day 10

Nope FL/GA border day 13 haha

LOL GFS brings Florence back at D9.

Landfall at 126 near or just North of Charleston Moving NW.

Landfall at 126 near or just North of Charleston Moving NW.

Neven made landfall moving SW at 108 off shore between Myrtle Beach & Charleston very Euro like.

Neven made landfall moving SW at 108 off shore between Myrtle Beach & Charleston very Euro like.

Stalled out between Wilmington & Morehead City at hour 66. Edit: Still sitting there at hour 78.

It's early but GFS is a little Northeast of 12Z at hour 24 Edit: Even more NE at 36 ridge is not as strong.

It's early but GFS is a little Northeast of 12Z at hour 24 Edit: Even more NE at 36 ridge is not as strong.

7 minutes ago, senc30 said:

Landfall at about 74 hours right at ILM it looks like for the EURO

Then comes to a screaching halt there at 96.

2 minutes ago, lj0109 said:

00Z Euro makes landfall just SW of ILM near Holden Beach 

Then comes to a screaching halt there at 96.

FV3 is SW and ridge is stronger at hour 30

FV3 is SW and ridge is stronger at hour 30

GFS is definitely West of at hour 54. Ridge is definitely stronger. Not sure it stays off the coast this run.

GFS is West of at hour 54. Ridge is definitely stronger. Not sure it stays off the coast this run.

GFS is a tad West of 18Z at hour 18. Ridge looks a like stronger lets see wherer it goes.