MD Snow
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Everything posted by MD Snow
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For those in the cities and especially s/e of 95... We better hope this thing doesn't tuck anymore or we'll be dealing with a quick 2-4" followed by a crap ton of rain. Not sure if there is a correlation but it does seem that as the models have become more amped for Monday the Wednesday storm is closer to the coast and the warm push is more and more pronounced. I'm still super excited and would take anything after the last couple of years.
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A couple thoughts....I count roughly 26 6z EPS members that basically keep the big accumulations 95 n/w. I'm not going to start paying serious attention to r/s/mix line until after the monday system. I'd imagine there will be adjustments one way or the other after the Monday system.
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5 days guys....5 days. Probably not the best analyze temp profiles this far out until we get inside 72hrs. Literally a 50 mile shift east would the be the difference in all frozen for the cities. Everything's still on the table this far off.
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Yes. Seems like an elevation/intensity dependent event as depicted on the 12z cmc/gfs. Still time for it evolve either way. The ops seemed to have shifted east with the track which is a good sign.
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One thing we may be forgetting here is that this probably still isn't the final solution. There is still plenty of time for it to morph into something completely different. The LPC could trend further west still and then back east. Could trend to all rain or more snow. Still 7 days out, which is an eternity in this hobby.
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That is a big run right there. First global to go big on the coastal enhancement idea.
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At hr 14 you can already see improvements at h5.
