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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    Solid hit on the euro for my area.
  2. OSUmetstud
    Thats not Elinor. Its Zach...he was a bit of teen genius from the old board that has seemed to go the way of weirdness ala Chuck. Elinor is Turtle not Turtle Hurricane.
  3. OSUmetstud
    Also, they use the word "Hurricane Conditions" which is more encompassing than the strict wind definition. It includes thing like storm surge and large battering waves.
  4. OSUmetstud
    Hurricane Warnings only verify a small percentage of the time. They warn larger stretches of the coast line to have sufficient lead time for preparations and account for track deviations. I think theyre verification stats are similar to tornado warnings compared to other warning products. Im guessing there is some sort of peristence bias with warnings in the sense that there not lifted until conditions markedly improve even though they would know they arent verifying.
  5. OSUmetstud
    The lack of blocking over Atlantic Canada with this one makes it tough to get west definitely fun and important to monitor run to run changes though
  6. OSUmetstud
    Should be decent here. Id like another nudge east to get into the lightly better winds. The winds wont be higher than any of our major winter storms but with leafed trees and unfrozen ground there will be more opportunity for damage and power outages.
  7. OSUmetstud
    The COTI ensemble track blend followed by the UKMET have been the best verifying pieces of guidance for Dorian at 120 hours so far.
  8. OSUmetstud
    Id probably go 45/35/20 for landfall probs in NL, NS, and out to sea. Theres still a lot of lowering of heights in Atlantic Canada ahead of Dorian that make me hesitant to believe in the further west tracks like the gfs and the ukmet even with the partial phase from the clipper out of eastern Canada.
  9. OSUmetstud
    Where is the post?
  10. OSUmetstud
    Looks pretty solid for an Atlantic Canada landfall.
  11. OSUmetstud
    The Icon is so good at tropical forecasting that the NHC doesn't even run statistics on it.
  12. OSUmetstud
    This is the third leading story on fox. Much more responsible. Canadian ex-PM 'rooting' for Hurricane Dorian to slam Mar-a-Lago
  13. OSUmetstud
    Hwrf has better scores than the hmon for track...and hwrf is the best model of all for intensity.
  14. OSUmetstud
    Its the old gfdl.
  15. OSUmetstud
    indeed
  16. OSUmetstud
    I'm grateful for those who know how to embed tweets, otherwise I wouldn't be able to see any of Ryan Maue's. He blocked me a few months back.
  17. OSUmetstud
    This sounds a lot like the seinfeld episode where George takes food into bed.
  18. OSUmetstud
    Are we forgetting about 1995-1996 and 2004-2005?
  19. OSUmetstud
    82/69 steamy for these parts.
  20. OSUmetstud
    Right. Might as well put it out at 44013 at this point.
  21. OSUmetstud
    Where did they used to take the official boston ob?
  22. OSUmetstud
    Lolz. 3 or 4:1 snow isnt even a real thing.
  23. OSUmetstud
    New rdps is paltry.
  24. OSUmetstud
    "The Kraft"
  25. OSUmetstud
    Whatever man
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