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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    I do agree the contract tracing will be difficult. Maybe we can use some of the people unemployed for that? lol idk. I know they discussed the matter here. The provincial govt is suggesting digital contract tracing here (voluntary) through a cell phone app. They mentioned that it would really only be effective through 60 percent compliance. Contact tracing is way more feasible when the numbers are small. When they blow up its basically impossible, which is the case in NY obviously.
  2. OSUmetstud
    They used control measures in 1918. Do you not want to use the things we've learned throughout history to try to give us a fighting chance here?
  3. OSUmetstud
    Economically, fear is going to be tough, I think, regardless of govt regulation people will be less likely to do certain activities than before.
  4. OSUmetstud
    I don't think large crowds are viable for this year, though.
  5. OSUmetstud
    If you do it gradually and you have enough contact tracing infrastructure I don't believe you have to get to herd immunity before a vaccine. As long as you keep the Ro under 1 we should be okay. It will be hard, though. That's why New York State is monitoring the transmission rate.
  6. OSUmetstud
    This an extreme position. It's only advocated by the far right. The whole idea of herd immunity as a solution and exposing people to the virus is insane, and not inline with normal health policy whatsoever. I can't believe being supportive of CDC guidelines and the trends like NYS is doing is somehow an indefensible position. Im getting questioned more than you.
  7. OSUmetstud
    Ive already said what we need to do...the thing that's already being done in this country by state governments and the cdc guidelines. Gradually open, test, trace, isolate, monitor...
  8. OSUmetstud
    Can someone please show me a single ****ing person that has advocated for indefinite lockdowns?
  9. OSUmetstud
    *Smashes head on keyboard*
  10. OSUmetstud
    No, they aren't. There's demonstrable undercounting going on worldwide due to the lack of testing early on in the pandemic and we're at 60K confirmed already with plenty to go, and that's just the first wave with lots of restrictions in place to prevent the numbers I stated above.
  11. OSUmetstud
    It's not relevant to this virus at all. You know damn well how deadly it is. I know you're not stupid, man.
  12. OSUmetstud
    This is all bullshit. We aren't going to purposely give people the virus and we aren't going to lockdown indefinitely. Gradually open and test, trace, isolated, and monitor. It's the method that our govt and governments all over the world are following. Also, in this time, maybe we get more positive treatments that give better outcomes.
  13. OSUmetstud
    You kill like 1-2.5 million Americans with a "herd immunity solution." Insane that anyone would sign off for that willingly.
  14. OSUmetstud
    Lol.
  15. OSUmetstud
    It's actually 12 to 14 times higher... We can't compare asymptomatic infections of COVID to symptomatic infections of influenza. The IFR of the flu is probably closer to 0.06-0.07%.
  16. OSUmetstud
    Im guessing they haven't bothered creating a vaccine for common coronaviruses because they don't kill people... You're sounding really ignorant here, man. There's a single study that isn't peer reviewed that suggests strands with varying virulence. Herd immunity isn't a solution; it's a result.
  17. OSUmetstud
    It would be nice to know what test NYS used. The NY state study is much bigger than anything else we've seen so it should be more accurate even if there is some false positives. You're going to see more problems with the smaller percentages and the smaller test populations. The regional percentages in WNY, CNY, and northern NY would be much more suspect than NYC and NY as a whole because the smaller percentages are going to more affected by false positives.
  18. OSUmetstud
    NYC probable deaths are added later in the day. Most places are not including those in the US.
  19. OSUmetstud
    Well the probables are a bit more discontinuous since they include cases from weeks ago...the daily confirmed numbers are more indicative of trends. NYC is only place in the state doing that right now. I'm sure there uncounted deaths all over the country.
  20. OSUmetstud
    His numbers are confirmed NYS deaths. Worldometers adds the NYC probable numbers later in the day. It's not some conspiracy lol.
  21. OSUmetstud
    Lol. 3.6 percent of upstate ny and 21 percent of NYC. The state and the city is literally the hardest hit area in the entire country. How do you get 20 percent nationwide?
  22. OSUmetstud
    You really dont seem to understand the numbers...
  23. OSUmetstud
    Not exactly a promising finding. Perhaps neutral or disappointing depending on what you thought the fatality rate might be. This would put fatality rate at 0.8 or 0.9 if you include the NYC confirmed and probably deaths.
  24. OSUmetstud
    Cuomo released preliminary antibody data from NY 13.9 percent of NY sample had antibodies 21.2 percent NYC 3.6 percent upstate ny (excluding NYC Rockland, Westchester, Nassau, and Suffolk)
  25. OSUmetstud
    Maybe. That's the first time someone has suggested this...that there is substantial enough mutations to change virulence. I think we have to be careful with the studies out there...theres a lot of info and and much of it hasn't been peer reviewed.
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