MotoWeatherman

Same snowfall here in Beech at 4650. 2 inches and still coming down at a decent clip.

Got about an inch so far here at 4650 on Beech. Temp finally dropped below freezing at 31.7.

38.4 and rain at 4650 on Beech. This whole thing went down the toilet in a hurry. Lol

100 percent liquid snow here at 4650 on Beech. Temp is 37.4.

Where are you?

That's become your DP is so dang low the rain is freezing due to evaporative cooling on the way down. It should turn over to plain rain before long.

LOL...looking more and more like rain at that time. I'm in Dahlonega GA right now and was debating going up to Beech. But I'm holding off until the Saturday morning runs to make that call.

Gotta love the 3k NAM literally sucking in dry air and wrapping around the ULL thus choking off the precip. Thanks God its the NAM showing this right now and not the GOOFUS or EURO.

12 NAM starts to rapidly strengthen the ULL over southern AL versus GA this run vs 0z last night. This pulls it NE sooner which is doom in my opinion. One thing you can almost always count on is that the warm nose will be underdone on the models.

Warm nose will potentially affect northern mountains the most for a period which sucks.

The 0z NAM and GFS are almost identical at 84hr. Once the ULL cuts off and drops down to the Gulf coast, then it's just ENE movement and strengthening. The GFS is stronger this run versus 18z. If we can get this track to hold it's paste job in the MTN's for sure. Also these stronger runs both show a warm nose affecting areas briefly Sunday morning...especially the northern mountains. The scenario could play out a snow to freezing rain/sleet back to snow type of deal. I've seen that happen before with these stupid warm noses. There is a reason they say "Upper Level Lows equals Weatherman's woes".

That's a very heavy dusting.

Over 2 inches now on the table at 4650 on Beech and dumping.

Someone just reported 3.5 on top of beech.

Already an inch in a hurry here at 4650 on Beech.

An inch so far on Beech.

Let the fun begin. Lower Cam-223801-223806.mp4

31.9 here on Beech with light snow. Here's to the GSP forecast busting...hopefully!

I could see that. It will be interesting to see how isolated to the far northern mountains this turns out to be. I still feel good about Beech Mtn. but less and less so the further south you go.

Ripping here on Beech also.

Maybe I'll be wrong but I just don't see anything telling me that elevations above 4k feet won't get 3+ inches out of this event. This is for areas north of Ashville. Really these NWF events are not that difficult to get a good idea about. 850 moisture will be plenty into Friday and 850 temps will be cold enough to wring it out. QPF of GFS is .3+ inches while 3k NAM is way more but I've seen that bust too high many times.

About 22. You did a lot better with that system last week than me.

Beautiful morning on Beech. Round 2 coming up Wednesday night into Friday with another 3-5 inches likely per the GFS.

And yet flakes continue to fly here on Beech.

Lol. Let's see if I win Thursday.