Wannabehippie
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Everything posted by Wannabehippie
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Over Roger.
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We now have TS Victor. 8:00 PM CVT Wed Sep 29 Location: 8.3°N 25.5°W Moving: WNW at 13 mph Min pressure: 1005 mb Max sustained: 40 mph
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11:00 PM AST Tue Sep 28 Location: 18.4°N 55.6°W Moving: NW at 9 mph Min pressure: 944 mb Max sustained: 140 mph
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Eye definitely not circular, but it is visible again on satellite photos. Also looks like Sam is a bit lopsided.
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Sam's eye was clear earlier today, but it has become obscured again.
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Pressure 959MB on first pass, which is lower than the11amAST update from the NHC
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Looks like Sam is trying to regenerate a bit. Eye is popping back out.
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Did a bit of dry air entrain in, which weakened Sam?
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11:00 PM AST Sun Sep 26 Location: 14.7°N 50.8°W Moving: NW at 7 mph Min pressure: 943 mb Max sustained: 145 mph
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First pass was 932MB second pass is 943. ERC causing the pressure to go up or did they miss the area of lowest pressure?
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2021 Atlantic Hurricane season
Wannabehippie replied to StormchaserChuck!'s topic in Tropical Headquarters
Since I do not see a banter thread for Sam I will ask this here. What are the chances that Sam will make it to a Cat 5? At first I thought it would reach it, but the models don't seem to get it to be that powerful. But they also seem to be underperforming what is actually going on with Sam.
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945mb on first pass.
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Larry's eye has opened up. It looks like some dry air has gotten entrained in.
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It MIGHT get close enough to Bermuda to be on the outer reaches of radar. MAYBE.
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I am pretty sure that is a non tropical low off the SE coast. So no Fujiwara.
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11:00 AM AST Sat Sep 4 Location: 16.8°N 45.8°W Moving: WNW at 15 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 125 mph From NHC.
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As expected now a major hurricane as per NHC 11:00 PM AST Fri Sep 3Location: 15.5°N 43.3°WMoving: WNW at 16 mphMin pressure: 965 mbMax sustained: 115 mph
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Eye doesn't look quite symmetrical, but look at that outflow and buzz saw look. Would not be surprised if this is a Cat 3 on the next update.
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So far NHC has had it going due west the whole time.
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Still not a hurricane as per NHC. 8:00 PM CVT Wed Sep 1 Location: 12.5°N 29.4°W Moving: W at 22 mph Min pressure: 991 mb Max sustained: 70 mph
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I am very surprised that Larry hasn't already been upgraded to a hurricane.
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10:00 AM CDT Sun Aug 29Location: 28.8°N 90.0°WMoving: NW at 13 mphMin pressure: 933 mbMax sustained: 150 mph
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9:00 AM CDT Sun Aug 29Location: 28.7°N 89.8°WMoving: NW at 14 mphMin pressure: 930 mbMax sustained: 150 mph Those are as per the NHC
