uncle W

you mean there will be palm trees next to the Welcome to NY signs on the George Washington Bridge like they have on I95 entering Florida?...I think the palms start in South Carolina on 95 so they are heading north...

yeah...snowfall averages have gone uo except for the last two years...

it wasn't bad for the driest period on record...it was a colder era which helps...Newark had at least 2" of snow on the ground Christmas morning from 1959-1963...If you use Dec 21st add in 1964...

I had a back yard like that in Brooklyn that was facing SW...the house was painted white which magified the Sun in the afternoon...not to mention the reflection from the windows...you have to add on a few degrees on average for that and it made the growing season a little longer there...

the pattern is not that great but not as bad as it could be... the game starts for me in two weeks...anything before that is an exhibition unless its something like Dec 12th 1960...

we did get a noreaster and seasonably cold air with the neg ao thats going on now...there was some snow way north of here...later on in the season I can see a snowstorm that started as rain if we see a storm like Fridays a month or two later...

NYC got zero or below in Jan 1976...1977...Feb 1979...Dec 1980...Jan 1982...1985...1984 just missed...13 degrees max Christmas day...

after 1995-96 the winter of 1996-97 felt the worse for me...the following year was the worst or one of them...98-99 was very bad too...

the blizzard of 1964 was a long cold storm with winds and drifting...the blizzard of 96 was the best one of all...some short storms a foot or more... Feb 67 and Dec 2000...were less than 18 hours...Feb 1983 was another 18 hour storm... .

most big snows melt or get washed away within a week to ten days...the storms and snow cover that last for weeks uaually have reinforcements down the line...the Kennedy inaugural storm was followed by over two straight weeks of sub freezing highs and another 22" before a thaw set in......

staten island got a foot on 3/21/18 and in early January...nothing beats 4/6/1982 for April storms...2018, 2003 and way back in 1956 NYC had a snowstorm 4" or more...

March 56 was the first for me...then Jan 1978... years between a 10" storm in NYC... March 1956...last time was Dec. 1948... January 1978...last time was Feb. 1969 March 1993...last time was Feb. 1983... December 2000...last time was Feb. 1996... last time was January 2016...

a screwy winter pattern can last six years like it did from 1949-50 to 1954-55...good thing they were the first six winters of my life...I barely remember 1954-55...

mid December is to far away to worry about a pattern change that has not happened yet...I still think the best week or weeks of winter will come in Feb... edit...I mean the pattern change before the pattern change...

there is some blocking in the forecast but nothing as extreme as those years...but then again the block doesn't need to be that strong...I'd like to see an ao at -4sd... lowest daily AO in December... 1950...-4.353...12/27...max/min 22/9 ...2.9" of snow on the 26th...biggest snow/coldest temp of the winter... 1952...-3.766...12/27...max/min 38/17..12 degrees 12/28...coldest of the winter...3" of snow 12/31... 1958...-3.814..,.12/22...max/min 29/12..cold dry...coldest temp of the month on the 22nd.. 1961...-3.959...12/26...max/min 39/30...6" of snow 12/23-24... 1962...-4.159...12/31...max/min 13/4.....coldet temp of the month... 1963...-4.470...12/20...max/min 26/11...coldest temp of the month...6.6" of snow 12/23-24... 1966...-4.147...12/13...max/min 37/31...rain and snow 12/13-14...7" of snow 12/24-25... 1968...-4.547...12/27...max/min 28/21...2" of light snow 12/27... 1969...-3.714...12/30...max/min 36/31...freezing rain 12/30-31... 1976...-5.287...12/29...max/min 32/20...2" of snow 12/28-29... 1978...-4.294...12/27...max/min 38/27...19 on 12/29...coldest for the month... 1995...-4.353...12/19...max/min 33/22...8" of snow 12/19-20... 2000...-4.688...12/29...max/min 30/17...12" of snow 12/30... 2009...-5.821...12/21...max/min 38/26...11" of snow 12/19-20... 2010...-5.265...12/18...max/min 36/28...cold dry till 20" of snow 12/26-27... 2012...-3.902...12/8.....max/min 50/44...rain and mild...

remember Dec 2000 and 2010 when some models were hinting big storms for weeks before it actually happened...both those Decembers were cold...2020 will probably be warmer than those two because they were much below normal...

I wasn't to impressed with the March 2001 and Jan 2015...analogs used for the 01 storm were to cold...The ao was way positive for the 2015 storm...

that winter had two good weeks in the first half of December and one huge storm in Feb...otherwise it was really bad...

A freudian slip...

yeah Dec 26th has the most crippling storms than any other day...1969 changed to rain after 6" fell or it would have been a classic... Dec 26th 1872...18"... Dec 25-26 1909.....8"... Dec 26th 1933.....11" Dec 26-27 1947...26" Dec 26-27 2010...20"

is this the year we see a white Christmas?...here's Newark NJ. since 1945... year...snow on the ground Christmas morning...snow falling midnight Christmas eve...*...snow falling Christmas day...** 2009...4" 2002...T * ** 1998...1" 1995...4" ** 1993...T * ** 1983...1" 1980...1" 1975...1" ** 1970...1" 1966...8" * 1963...5" 1962...2" ** 1961...8" 1960...2" 1959...3" 1948...3" ** 1947...1" 1945...4"

thanks...

31 years ago today...

some real dud winters had a little snow the first week in December including last year then have a dry spell until February...1949-50 and 2007-08 come to mind...2005-06 too but snowfall was heavier esp;ecially in Feb...its nice to see this year has some hope and I hope it lasts thru New Years day...