ChescoWx
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Posts posted by ChescoWx
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Latest HRRR if you choose to believe increases totals from 0z to 1z.. and not yet done....yep I know it's a reach!
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9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:
People at work in telford blowing this off. Claim it was 50 today it won't stick
That will work out well....
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Starting to rain here in NW Chesco Temp at 45.3 DP 35.0 Wet bulb 40.6
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12 minutes ago, MGorse said:
That is at 13z. Still snowing after that.
Indeed!!! Paul is sloppy here!!
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3 minutes ago, The Iceman said:
Fake news
Sorry Iceman!! my bad need to always look at the time!!!
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11 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:
Here’s the complete run. Still snowing everywhere but the Lehigh Valley at this hour.
Thanks LV my bad....posted the wrong time frame!!
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Last 2 HRRR starting to step back on snow totals especially the further south and east from earlier runs -something to watch!
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15 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:
So would I!!
Thing is, the 3 major networks snow total maps are in the same general area and it's not just 1 network. I think they are pretty much locked into this.
This kind of setup is difficult to predict snow amounts...
I have heard several professionals say today that this has been one of the more challenging forecasts they have had....it's easy for us to post maps etc. but they need to take simply use those as one of the many tools in the proverbial toolbox and make the forecast. I truly admire the great folks we have locally in Mt. Holly!!
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NWS upped my totals to 3" to 7" but down the road in Exton only 2" to 4"....elevation impacts?
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Zoomed in 18z NAM - NWS has moved my local forecast up from 1" to 3" to 2" to 4"
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5 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:
Was March 7-8 the storm that knocked out power to much of eastern PA? I remember that clearly, I was in the Poconos for it and the forecast was 1-3”, instead we got over 6” with blizzard conditions at times.
Ended up with 11.5" of snow with that one with a temp that never went below 32.5
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4 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:
I was 9 years old in that storm in 1983, but I think this is a wee bit different set up. This trend here is unprecidented, fun, unexpected but the temps???
While rates can overcome marginal temps and warm grounds....this could well be a classic case of elevation playing havoc with totals. I have seen 6" of snow at my spot and drive 1 mile away down 250 ft and only see 3" of snow with a temp at 32-33
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17 minutes ago, RedSky said:
Pivotal kuchera maps show half these amounts
The JB clown algorithm is ridiculous
You would really love the 10:1 maps!
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Another shift SE on the Euro cut LHV and NE PA down a bit
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Euro goes SE
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GFS increases totals across much of the area
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Watches were just issued for Lancaster County also....suspect we may see Mt. Holly extend the watches down into Chester County with later updates.
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12z 3K NAM with a slight decrease in totals across Chester, Montco and Bucks but an increase in the LV
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Latest NBM slightly increases totals
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GFS with a slight move southbound....
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NBM with 0.5" at KMQS to 2.0" at KABE....NE PA with elevation FTW!!
2/13 rain to snow event
in Philadelphia Region
Posted
NW Chesco to Montco elevation bomb....if this were to be correct...