north pgh

Yes this NAM run is strange. We will have to wait til tonight or tomorrow to see what is really going on. It has a similar setup on thurs as today but today the low is tracking into West Virginia and Thursday it shows it in the gulf with the precip in pa.

Normally I would be excited about Thursday because it is only 48 hours out but we all know what happened 48 hours before this storm. I say it’s 50/50 storm goes west or east. Let the sweating out of the models begin before this first storm is even over. Maybe we can get some sleet tonight. As bad as we all hate the pinging on the windows I would take that tonight over rain or freezing rain. Hell ....this all beats a cold dry spell waiting for something on the models. Keep bringing these systems on and we’ll take our chances.

Watching closely the 18HRRR for what it's worth but it is trending colder and looks to start as snow around 6:00 tonight. Maybe a little shift that we need.

As much as we have all been disappointed the last 48 hours this mornings heavy snow is good to see. In recent years we would get nothing but a little sleet or ice and change to rain. We could easily pick up a quick 2-4 this morning before it ends. Another positive note....we had 7 inches on the ground and the freezing drizzle put a glaze of ice on our snowpack and now we are putting more snow on top of that. Even with a mix tonight it should do nothing to our snowpack which will keep us cold for later this week. Gotta find the positives. Who knows? Maybe tonight will surprise us.

The old Joe DeNardo rule. Never post accumulation amounts until 24-48 hours before the storm. It is the smart thing to do.

A batch of heavier snow about to move in.

That 7 inch line cuts right across the 422 on the 18hrrr,

Maybe tomorrow’s miss will be Thursday’s hit.

Well said. Maybe these models will beat us down so bad that the storm will over perform at some point.

This may be a split allegheny county special. I can see eastern allegheny county getting 2-4 and western allegheny county 4-8.i think everyone gets 1-3 from the first waive. I hope with the second waive if we do mix we get sleet over freezing rain. Then maybe another 1-3 backend overnight Monday. It’s going to be interesting to say the list. I think we stay all frozen however. I just can’t see plain rain. We haven’t been above freezing for 2 weeks. Just my guesses. We’ll see.

Haha good one. Maybe rants is back under a new name.

And another thing.... the Canadian gives us 8-9 inches on Monday with less mix and gives us a solid 4-6 inch front end thump on Thursday. That sucks

Sorry in advance if I offend anyone but some of you people are unbelievable. Wa wa wa! I have been posting since 2003 back on wright weather and have been disappointed more times than not. Currently we are expecting 6-9 inches of snow and maybe some sleet and freezing rain on Monday. This would be a big storm for us. If we are not in the bullseye people complain. We very rarely get the bullseye. Somebody always gets more. So what. Enjoy what you can get. If you want a 24 inch snow move east and you can get one every 5 years and hardly anything else. I am enjoying this winter very much. It reminds me of some of the winters in the 70’s. A nice variety. If we downgrade to 4-7 I will still take it. I don’t want to start any arguments. That’s just how I feel. Anyways

Too much pessimism folks. Keep the faith.

My driveway is a sheet of ice. I had 2 people fall early this evening. Be careful out there.

GFS still looks solid. No change at all

I think right now we are in a good spot. 6-12 with winter storm watches going up late tomorrow afternoon for Monday Monday night. Worst case scenario 4-6 but could still go either way.

The Canadian has shifted slightly west but I still like our position. I don’t like to be in the bullseye just yet and if this thing is gonna move at all the next two days I’m hopeful that it would go east a little.

GFS holding serve.

Canadian a direct hit twice. Going to be a long weekend of tracking.

I know some people don’t like these clown maps but I couldn’t resist the Euro for next week. Yikes !

Roads in the north hills are horrible.