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anthonyweather

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Everything posted by anthonyweather

  1. GFS follows ensembles and comes aboard.. Choo choo
  2. Really, the ratios will make up for the lack of blocking. so theres a few positives going.
  3. GFS ensembles are nothing like OP... I suggest stepping away from the OP runs for a day or 2 and focus on ensembles.
  4. The verification score drops rapidly under day 5 for the AI's
  5. Ensembles were north of 00z by a lot.... Damn guy trying to punt this before the models even show it
  6. I guess that’s what happens when you use ensembles within 12hrs of a storm .
  7. 5.1” official at Lehigh Valley today 5.0” on the nose at the house in carbon county. Between tomorrow and next weekend I suspect we will be headed for an above average winter. .
  8. Really shouldn’t be any virga with this, still juiced from this morning .
  9. Gfs follows suite, shifts the heaviest snow into the Lehigh Valley and poconos (1-3”) Philly looking like c-1” and unless you hug the hrrrrr .
  10. Throws 1/2” into eastern pa late tomorrow night. , 1” into jersey .
  11. NAMS got a big shift towards the hrrr for late night redevelopment. Not enough for most us, but one more shift and we’re in. .
  12. It was spot on for today. Definitely interesting. See if anything else catches on 00z tonight .
  13. I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a map this bad [emoji23] .
  14. Everyone shits on the NAM, but was the only model printing 4-6" in the Lehigh Valley all the way back to yesterday 6z runs. We will no doubt hit those numbers
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