CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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NAM is a nice hit N of pike
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Now that is a decent look.
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Lets try for it.
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AI Euro has warm temps pretty far north.
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Yeah it's better if that is the end result. Just no thanks to those blues going towards the LA Basin which was the reason for my morning post. I know we have to play with fire, but there are some looks that are favorable to do that, and some that aren't.
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Looks like 12z EPS less ridgy in the east. I just have PTSD from these hang back troughs in the SWUS. I don't want to see the ensemble mean with the trough scrotum over the southwest. Anything but that.
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The difference being this time around though is that the ridge earlier up to now extended to California, that looks like it could change, which then increases the chances of stuff being well not so favorable here. I’m not saying that’s my forecast to go super torch like some are, I was just sharing a legit concern that I had. If you had a gun to my head, I certainly acknowledge the cold, and I acknowledge that we could potentially be on the good side… But yeah, that’s just a worry I had.
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That’s what my concern is about. Your last sentence. Just reminds me of those looks. Maybe it’s more messy systems, but same idea. It would just be nice to have even a 10-14 day stretch where we put a run together. I want arguing winter cancel or anything like that.
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LOL. Your comment about not knowing what I was talking about spurred me to make a wise ass comment. It’s all good.
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It’s not like I came in here canceling winter and melting like snowcrazed and yelling at Jerry calling him an old man. Here’s something positive, the GEFS look better than the EPS. Feet of snow coming.
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I love how when you post about concerns is considered melts needing a break, etc. I’m just posting what I see. I guess we just ignore it now through the 10th though.
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Baby keep you up all night?
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Maybe since all the other looks I liked have done jack shit, the ones I don’t like will produce.
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If you ask my opinion about Snow, I think we have chances until the 10th. After that sure maybe it works out, but personally right now not a fan of it.
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Where did I imply other than joking about outdoor seating on Valentine’s Day about an exotic warm look in February. Please point out directly. All I said was that I’m concerned about the look. I don’t like it. It’s from a snow point of view after the 10th.
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I don’t think anybody doubts Canada is cold, but what good is that if that dumps into the plains. My whole point and I don’t know why people are going stupid over it, is that I’m not a fan of that look. That’s all.
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Because I joked about outdoor seating? Come on dude. You’re better than that.
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I think you need to reread what I posted.
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You don’t have to retort about needing a break because I post about something potentially warm. All I said was I don’t like the look. Not sure why some are having a hard time.
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Increments are more detailed on TT. Still ass. You’re using a warmer baseline and still meh.
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So CC adjusted and still ass.
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Because it seemed like you didn’t even see that look as being potentially warm. Clearly it is on guidance.
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Well hold on there, you shouldn't be forecasting by just saying what is coming is the same shit as what we had. It's a wetter look and we have some chances from now to the 10th. My worry is that the period after could be dicey. But maybe it works out....nobody knows at this point. If that shifts SE a bit then we roll in the snow. I'm just not excited about it currently.
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Obviously I was joking about outdoor seating on 2/14. I'm surprised that somehow was interpreted at factual. I don't know..that orientation scares me. Seems like we've seen that last couple of winters. I don't debate up to the 10th has a chance.
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GFS looks nice from Ineeddongs to Ray on north. Ticked south.
