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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    It would cause outages, but it’s nothing we haven’t seen before in October when there still is leaves on the trees. At least on the coast. Obviously, inland it matters.
  2. CoastalWx
    I don’t see 70 right now.
  3. CoastalWx
    Think gradient is more N to NE there.
  4. CoastalWx
    Basically 40-60 gusts NYC to BOS. At least drought ends.
  5. CoastalWx
    It’s more brief there and N winds so probably not a huge deal. If it tucked in closer to NYC before weakening it would be more impactful.
  6. CoastalWx
    Should be fine imo.
  7. CoastalWx
    Meh long way to go.
  8. CoastalWx
    AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement.
  9. CoastalWx
    Looks like we have to toss euro AI
  10. CoastalWx
    Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh.
  11. CoastalWx
    Phones off at school
  12. CoastalWx
    That’s funny you posted that. In between bands it definitely seemed more mixed.
  13. CoastalWx
    In this case you want to be on the north and northwest side of this storm. it’s way different than Sandy which was moving WNW and had a high to the east causing strong SE flow.
  14. CoastalWx
    Can look at it on Weathernerds. It’s labeled GFM and then the one that has been superior is called weathernext. It’s labeled as GDMWNV3
  15. CoastalWx
    6z deep mind more clustered south of ACK and MVY then bending west.
  16. CoastalWx
    SSTs are 61-63 offshore. Already cooling.
  17. CoastalWx
    Winds overall would be less in that scenario, but perhaps more prolonged.
  18. CoastalWx
    6z euro op is funny. Retros pretty far south, stalls south of LI then was about to wobble back NE at hr 144.
  19. CoastalWx
    I don’t think that strong. 925 would need to be 80-90kts and I don’t see that. Mixing barely to 925 as well. Unless this deepens more.
  20. CoastalWx
    6z euro AI is nasty. Will be interesting to see when we get into hi res territory with the LLJ. Unlike previous storms there will be days of NE fetch. I’m gusting to 25mph and the seas are rough. It’s only Tuesday.
  21. CoastalWx
    That would be pretty dam epic.
  22. CoastalWx
    I think he misses some of the things I taught him.
  23. CoastalWx
    GFS is so bad. It’s what this administration did to the funding.
  24. CoastalWx
    Deep mind with a bunch of members near ACK and then members south of BID and eastern LI. Euro retros south of the islands and then peels SW towards SE NJ. Ensembles still split. Either way a good storm seems more likely from SNE to Long Island. Don’t expect much coastal impacts towards NYC as the winds are more north. But strong winds and some rain look to happen there too.
  25. CoastalWx
    There’s an article about how they developed this model. Pretty insane for not using any of the physics we incorporate in current models. I had ChatGPT summarize it lol.
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