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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Weeklies better come through. lol.
  2. CoastalWx
    Still a strong -PNA at 12/3 on EPS. As we said, gonna need to be after first week of Dec I think. That ridge is too far west in the Pacific.
  3. CoastalWx
    Uncle Leo!!
  4. CoastalWx
    Yeah probably. Kevin is all distraught but it doesn’t have to be 15F either.
  5. CoastalWx
    Meh let it torch. Give everyone some good weather to travel.
  6. CoastalWx
    So you’re saying it could be earlier? If anything you lean this occurring later than models have. Especially when you need a cooperating Pacific.
  7. CoastalWx
    Yeah that’s been my target. Late in, or after first week. Some are having trouble accepting that.
  8. CoastalWx
    I would just like to see the PV more towards Hudson Bay to spread the cold a little bit further east. I think there might be a better chance for more eastern Canada cold after the 5th like you said.
  9. CoastalWx
    Yeah, that far out ensembles can be wrong, but I think that applies especially getting details like low pressure locations, etc. versus a 500 MB pattern. However, I don’t think there’s anything wrong with accepting that it could be mild next week. This is your classic EPO dump that always goes out west and in the plains first, and that implies a ridge over the east. So you also have Climo on your side along with the ensemble prediction. I don’t think that is unreasonable.
  10. CoastalWx
    What a breathe of fresh air.
  11. CoastalWx
    That’s awesome. Happy for you guys.
  12. CoastalWx
    When I say way different, getting a 500 MB pattern correct versus getting a solution like a low passing just south of you to give you snow, is way different. It is much easier to show a ridge over the East Coast 11 days out on an Ensemble versus getting specific details on an area of low pressure. It’s really apples to oranges. That’s why I mean way different.
  13. CoastalWx
    Yep agree
  14. CoastalWx
    The good stuff doesn’t happen until well after Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving week is your classic preload with the cold dump into the west and Plains and pumps up the ridge out east. No one saying 75 to 80, but it’s not gonna be cold or anything like that at all. Will average above normal.
  15. CoastalWx
    Dismiss this
  16. CoastalWx
    Way different
  17. CoastalWx
    Just need to hold for 300hours. We can do it.
  18. CoastalWx
    That's a mild to warm look on the EPS. Only thing that might argue against it's surface wedging which you can't predict this far out. But the mid levels there are a warm look.
  19. CoastalWx
    1/Kevin
  20. CoastalWx
    AI has learned enough that it doesn’t snow here anymore so not sure Steve can make it snow here.
  21. CoastalWx
    lol. Cap tip to the Ambassador of AI.
  22. CoastalWx
    Meh. Cold is going to plains first. Need the PV further SE. Needs work.
  23. CoastalWx
    I mean it’s a warmer spot, but I’ve been commenting about that station for over a year. There’s no reason why it should be the warmest spot in all of SNE in this setup.
  24. CoastalWx
    KHVN 40 when everyone else there is well mixed and 36-37. We toss KHVN. @BrianW
  25. CoastalWx
    Wind has kicked up in this dying shower of stuff.
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