Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    172,845
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. At least Mjo P6 and P7 are conducive to AK ridging and some blocking. We’ll have that later in Jan
  2. Maybe. That’s still an issue regarding destructive interference.
  3. Dude look at this shit. What an absurd bullshit reading for great barirngton.
  4. No my point is similar looks have done nothing for the reasons we stated a few pages back. Maybe this will, but I’ll believe it when I see it.
  5. Lips and hips played on your blue tooth speaker while you shovel?
  6. That’s basically me looking at the last 4 years of snow data.
  7. Looking at the extended on the EPS you normally would think that offers something.
  8. At the time it was the model suite that was out, but the other guidance showed that too. At least the 12z euro looked better today. It would just be nice to get multiple model runs showing something more favorable instead of a random set of guidance here or there doing it and then going back to ass. Let’s just stabilize something good for once.
  9. Buck shot probably related to short wave timing issues, but that doesn’t make me want to vomit for sure.
  10. The illustration also shows you what I was saying about that kicker. Look how that Ridge axis goes from Northern California right into the Canadian prairies. You definitely don’t want to see that, you want to see that more oriented north to south.
  11. It certainly has potential of more than that in the next 10+ days or so… But I’m looking at it from a point of view where we can get at least two chances within a small window perhaps more chances over say a 20 day period where we have an opportunity to make a run for a bit. I’m not looking at this from a KU perspective at all.
  12. Never mind the outcome, verbatim… That’s what I’m kind of looking for for something other than a glancing blow… Something that will give us at least a couple of chances.
  13. OK, this 12z euro run is exactly what you hope to see if you want something conducive. Look at that ridge over the West Coast right into Alaska. You don’t have that stupid nagging trough over Alaska That’s kicking down the ridge and just shitting on us all the time. That pokes right up into Santa‘s fanny. That’s what you want. Whether it happens or not, who knows.
  14. Ahh see the euro is another solution that might work and kind of deliver something high-end advisory, low and warning. It actually meanders the cut off down south so that the confluence weekends north of New England after day seven and allows a weak low to come up the coast and bring some snow. Then the trough sharpens in the plains and perhaps tries to deliver something after that timeframe.
  15. Yeah sometimes it extends there, but I notice it more in the larger events with strong erly to nerly flow. i’m trying to take out any recent confirmation bias in my head… But there might be a meteorological reason too.
  16. It was maybe him, but I think HM did this too. No disrespect to him, he’s a good met…but at times I was questioning that.
  17. There is something about that Rhode Island semi Snow hole. I’ve seen it in too many storms. I know someone will come back and say blah blah Blizzard of 78… But there’s been enough of those for me to think it might be almost a climatological standing wave issue where perhaps they are somewhat always in the sub zone.
  18. It’s like that guy who used to use some sort of voodoo and predict when there would be a storm a month out on the East Coast. I forget who it was but he would always say something like I predict they’ll be a major East Coast storm between January 10 and 20th. And he’ll give himself like 500 miles either way of leeway and oh by the way, the odds of something between January 10 and January 20 in general probably aren’t half bad anyways lol, because of Climo.
×
×
  • Create New...