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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    I do like seeing the euro AI kind of hold steady. It’ll be interesting to see what the 12z stuff does today. But when you get an anomalous 500 set up and multiple lows with convection all over the place, models are gonna have a tough time resolving it. I don’t know how good AI is for something like this.
  2. CoastalWx
    Euro ai holds steady
  3. CoastalWx
    NYC in the clear?
  4. CoastalWx
    Thankfully all clear.
  5. CoastalWx
    I was thinking more strength wise. Like 1000mb seems a bit weak for this setup.
  6. CoastalWx
    AI gfs looks good here
  7. CoastalWx
    That was a glue factory performance by euro op.
  8. CoastalWx
    Euro shit itself going hundreds of miles. AI ticked NE too. Overall weaker trends. Was kind of surprised.
  9. CoastalWx
    Hmm. Nobody picked up that quote? Maybe foresthillswx did.
  10. CoastalWx
    Not this time, down here it’s our time… it’s our time down here!!
  11. CoastalWx
    He gets a little too excited
  12. CoastalWx
    18z Deep mind weathernext3 coming a little more north before the retro. Let’s maximize damage.
  13. CoastalWx
    Don’t think he can use his webbed hands this time.
  14. CoastalWx
    Seems like ensembles ticked a little east at 18z.
  15. CoastalWx
    Ha kind of a weird run. Gets occluded quick. Goes over Cape after stalling.
  16. CoastalWx
    18z euro stalls south of LI at hr 120.
  17. CoastalWx
    18z euro ai a tick NE from 12z. Not a lot different.
  18. CoastalWx
    Weathernerds has 950 and 975mb winds. I was impressed that 950 wasn’t much different vs 925. In fact gfs at one point was stronger at 950 vs 925 lol. Anyways doesn’t mean much now. Just need to watch intensity and track. But if this went into EWB or ACY, it’s a pretty strong hit for many areas. Difference might be gusts 55-60mph vs 65-70mph with strongest winds on N and NW side of the low.
  19. CoastalWx
    Yeah that was 70kt plus at 950. Don’t see that happening.
  20. CoastalWx
    Got to see how winds time with the tides. May take a ride down to Marshfield Saturday night.
  21. CoastalWx
    Gfs has like 65kts at 950 over me. That would hurt.
  22. CoastalWx
    Wow one thing I did notice. The winds at 925 and 950 aren’t much different on the NAM and GFS. Both models are impressive at 950. I can’t see that on the euro, but I assume it may also apply to other models and not just GFS and NAM.
  23. CoastalWx
    Yep we knew
  24. CoastalWx
    I would highly advise not getting into what the HRRR is doing from a tropical standpoint
  25. CoastalWx
    At least you guys could really use the rain.
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