CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Wow 6z gfs was amazing.
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Wow. Coating here but done now. You’ve done well in these nickel and dimes
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We fake that. Develops the secondary
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29 now. We rising
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Big fluffier in this. Rain line about 5 miles south.
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Light snow here and 28 still. But man it’s torching just to the south.
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NAM would unload about 12hrs after the run ended
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Radar shit out here. Maybe this next stuff can still be snow. 28.
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I don’t see this as a subby type deal. That’s what I alluded to earlier about a widespread storm vs the haves and have nots
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Yeah there’s some CAPE early on. lol. That low shape and lack of deepening sort of limits the ageo flow, but luckily the airmass is frigid.
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That’s next in mesoscale 101
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This storm does feel like one of those events where it should be widespread good snows. Sure some may get more than others… But I don’t see this as the last four years of haves and have nots that were fairly close to each other. So that’s a good thing.
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I’m prepping for a phone interview, and he’s asking me about coastal fronts and whether the islands are gonna mix. Lol.
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I told him don’t worry about NNE. Nobody lives there.
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Yeah, don’t underestimate that coastal front. Someone to the west of that for about eight hours or so is gonna get slammed.
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My gut says some CF action tickles you.
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Honest to God only advice I gave him was the CF.
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Wow look at those mesoscale features outlined.
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Looks stronger than modeled right to srn CT coast. Unless it weakens which is possible.
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Decent band not well modeled. Let’s move it east
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18z euro AI looks very close to 12z
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18z AI looks good though
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18z GFS going flaccid
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More like 700 low but we don’t have a closed H7 low. Sort of like what Will and Seymournhave said…it’s like ASWFE thump followed by lighter snows.
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Euro has the 850 low into NY state with the 850 WF just off south coast. You want 12”+ then you really want to see closed 850 to our south. Not always the case…but it’s something to keep in mind and a reality check.
