My “gut” says NW CT on north and into nrn ORH and CNE is the place to be right now. Obviously things can change, but that’s what these overnight runs tell me.
the gfs would likely be less snow than shown. You don’t want this tucking into CT with a marginal airmass and the 10:1 maps aren’t going to help. I have this feeling the low is going into SNE.
At hr 108, the op definitely has the low with the srn vort that is offshore. That makes a wider hook. The mean must have members not showing this because I don't see the same feature at H5 on the mean, that the op shows.