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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Was thinking more in the NW part of the county. Definitely had that jog east in guidance. Good call.
  2. Winds (the real damaging aspect anyways) should just be within eyewall. Obviously outside of that will have gusts to hurricane force.
  3. Looks like where guidance had it 36 hrs ago.
  4. Definitely a jog east from where I thought landfall might be.
  5. NHC claimed it’s a 3 now. Was a 4 for an hour supposedly.
  6. Will be a 3 at landfall. EWRC. NHC has a 3.
  7. It’s warm regardless. No argument there. Installed and staying installed. ACATT threw parties and cheered summer is over. Now they’re apple picking with sacks stuck to thighs.
  8. Its definitely peaked from a pressure standpoint and likely wind too. At least based on satellite and radar presentation.
  9. IR and radar presentation would seem to argue it’s peaked or close to it. Eastern eyewall looks a little ragged. Western eyewall is a beast.
  10. I’ll have to run the numbers here Brian. Next week may make it interesting.
  11. Maybe for CON? I’m looking at SNE and that seems tough here. Probably depends on how many 90F days we can get.
  12. PF leaves Europe and they have mtn snows into France lol.
  13. EPS has a big high move overhead in the 11-15 day and H5 ridge retro west. I’d like to see more ridging in the east. It’s gonna be well AN for sure.
  14. We welcome him for awhile. Might have to wait until after tomorrow.
  15. I think it’s also embedded in an area of overall anonymously lower pressure.
  16. TBW radar definitely showing convection wrapping around now. Yeah
  17. Definitely a better appearance on radar and satellite.
  18. At the time though it’s a little stretch to go 85 kts from 91 kts from FL winds. That was over 90 min ago too.
  19. Finally see some signs of deeper convection wrapping around the center. Should this continue, you'll eventually see the center warm on IR imagery and clear out.
  20. So a random 91kt FL wind at 700mb translates to 100mph at the surface? Not sure how I feel about that.
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