Regardless of this outcome, look what happens without the nipple low. Winds rapidly back and temps 925 and below plummet. So ignoring low position, THAT is what we want to see.
Yeah he’ll do well I think. My comment was more on whether the stupid inv look happens and keeps boundary layer more easterly.
Hopefully we can get that srn vort To help a bit more. Explosive height falls as you said, but I’d like limit that erly flow as much as I can.