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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. It's also showing 10:1 ratios when it won't be. It's stacking snow like it's below freezing when it's not. So those amounts aren't going to be close.
  2. Yeah wish I could buy it. I don't have a lot of trust right now, other than maybe a somewhat fun finish.
  3. You and Dave post pics. I'm jelly lol. But I am glad you finally get to experience a big one.
  4. From a low into ORH to crushing ern areas in the aftn. Your RAP ladies and gentlemen. lol.
  5. Get rid of OT and allow us to post pics lol.
  6. I always want to, but there’s a limit for space. I always have to delete older stuff.
  7. Good luck to the elevated peeps. Hope it rips.
  8. It’s trying to warm aloft. Can see melting layer on BOX slowly moving NW. Probably won’t go too far though.
  9. It's going to be a close battle as it tries to warm from the east, but lift gets deeper. Will be interesting to see what happens.
  10. I just don't see a reason to be aggressive with higher end ranges. I think Ryan had a good map. I hope I am wrong.
  11. The euro has a consolidated low, but it swung real far out. I can see your point of view, and perhaps for a very small area that might be true, but for the most part across the region, I think having a more consolidated low helps. I mean look at the 12z NAM yesterday.
  12. A faster consolidated low also has to do with the s/w in question, and this is independent of the inv trough. There are so many moving parts.
  13. Ray lows pivoting in were part of the reason many of us didn't feel comfortable about ern mass. But also the nipple low absolutely torched lower levels even in ern areas. Those solutions had the low pivot all the way into Bar Harbor with meager amounts of snow outside the ORH hills and south of SNH. With a consolidated low, you'll have a much better shot at the CCB in most of the area. Maybe extreme ern areas play with fire.
  14. How is reggie no snow after 15z out to 495 with that track?
  15. Seems like that area is sampled well though coming off land and with satellites etc. I dunno.
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