CoastalWx

I don't see warmth to be honest outside of a day or so. Just no big cold shots and if they do come, it's windy. First frosts in Deep South before us again.

Looks like we go into Mowvember with limited frosts perhaps.

Wx2fish is up in Pittsburg NH and he had graupel too.

Yeah I mean I’m not in conspiracy mode yet, but there’s been interesting points raised.

Jan 2016?

If this is true and it comes to light......there will be a massive house cleaning from MSP down to the town level.

Wind, rain, and then gone?

Perhaps a sprinkle or light shower for you late day and evening? Might be dry there. I think it’s dry N and E of HFD-PVD line.

Save a horse, toss the euro.

Correct.

Ahh...so the 3/10/11 would be this: 3" last hour. 10" total. 11" OTG. When obs were obs.

That would be March 13 1993.

Still think this is the man of all man obs METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN -BLSN OVC/// M01/M01 A2916 RMK R04RVR06-V06 TB50 SW MOVG N OCNL LTGIC DRFTG SNW PK WND 0670/33 PRESFR SNOINCR 3/10/11

You can get obs here. When it asks for download options I did "tab delimited" Lastly I saved it to my computer and opened it using notepad. You can do it as "comma delimited" and it saves it as an excel spread sheet. The full metar is displayed on the right in one of the columns. You may have to play around a bit. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/request/download.phtml?network=MA_ASOS

You mean surface wind data? Obs?

Unpredictable weather??

I'd still take that over last year.

Might be able to. Or at worst maybe a few hours of rain Sat evening? Still a tougher call for you.

We take.

6z Euro already folded. My guess is at least pike north is dry this weekend. For the most part.

Looks like the JV Euro is back again. More than likely low is suppressed vs the Euro more aggressive solutions.

How's the Redneck Riviera?

As Wolfie said, last season was a 3rd year Nina. That was characterized by a very strong -PNA (deep troughing out west) and helped overwhelm anything positive we could get from a -NAO. When that -NAO did form, the cold pushed west through Canada and then south into the Plains. Nino's typically can produce Miller A events (storms originating near the Gulf of Mexico) and moving up the coast. These events can hit New England good, but they can also occlude off the Delmarva and leave us with a banded mess of precip. They also can form Miller B events (redevelopers off the Mid Atlantic) when the nrn stream of the jet interacts with the subtropical jet. Miller Bs tend to be our bread and butter in New England. Regardless of the type of storm, Nino's tend to favor coastal storms vs Nina. Here is a site that lets you compare the 3-month avg of SSTs for Nino 3.4 region ( (5oN-5oS, 120o-170oW)). You can see we are well behind 2015 which is good. https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php

Typically weak ninos that are more west based with their temp anomalies are snowier, especially SNE. Mod to even strong can be good, especially closer to moderate. You generally don’t want things to be focused farther east off of Peru. When that happens you can get quite the subtropical jet which can bring the precip, but the cold typically is cut off or non-existent.

64 here. Nice day.