Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    168,606
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. TBW radar definitely showing convection wrapping around now. Yeah
  2. Definitely a better appearance on radar and satellite.
  3. At the time though it’s a little stretch to go 85 kts from 91 kts from FL winds. That was over 90 min ago too.
  4. Finally see some signs of deeper convection wrapping around the center. Should this continue, you'll eventually see the center warm on IR imagery and clear out.
  5. So a random 91kt FL wind at 700mb translates to 100mph at the surface? Not sure how I feel about that.
  6. Good chance some spots near 90 for a few days next week. Sumtember.
  7. There is no way it goes that far south.
  8. Hurricanes are fickle. The environment has to be pristine for upper end 4-5s.
  9. Because satellite presentation to me says it has work to do. As others have stated, RI more likely overnight.
  10. Still work to do. Going to wait until tonight I think for any RI.
  11. There is a weakness at H5 that to me, is allowing for a move into Apalachee Bay.
  12. Euro also right where HAFS-A and HAFS-B are. near and just SE of Newport FL.
  13. Looks like HAFS-A and HAFS-B have landfall in Apalachee Bay just near and SE of Newport FL.
  14. Sounds like a fun town. I fear this being closer to TLH.
  15. Looking at the potential west or east moves...while I understand a stronger storm may be more responsive to beta drift off to the NE...you can see a weakness extending NW into LA at 500mb. I don't necessarily see a kicker to the east and that weakness concerns me for perhaps a track on the western side of the envelope at landfall.
  16. Yeah definitely agree with that.
  17. 6z GFS would be a hell of an event for TLH.
  18. Steinhatchee seems a good place to post up for now. I agree it could be a bit NW of that.
  19. I feel like it could really take off prior to landfall.
×
×
  • Create New...