CoastalWx
-
Posts
170,054 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CoastalWx
-
Well they are, but you also need to look ahead and see how the pattern looks. I’m completely fine being ok with winter if the second half of January into March looks good.
-
I know what you mean. But I do think we need something before 1/15. I know 57-58 had the turn around, but that’s JMHO. Not being a Debbie or anything.
-
I’d like to see the PNA recover quickly to lock that in.
-
Well anyways some hope as maybe one of these events in the first 10 days will work out. To me that’s key. I think (it’s just MHO) that in order for winter to be salvaged, one of these will need to work out. If we go into 1/15 skunked, put the dollhouse at the 40yd line.
-
What you want to see with the -NAO and what we haven’t seen is the cold parked in SE Canada to help SNE and points south. Too early to say if we’ll have that. To me it sort of looks like a lot of cold may go out west, but again a little early to say.
-
There’s the gorilla.
-
Hopefully one of these events prior to 1/10 work out.
-
00z GEFs weren’t the prettiest.
-
I wasn’t the biggest fan of the EPS. PAC kind of stinks.
-
We are which has hurt us, but it can and does get cold with lack of solar insolation. I think in March is when you really see the dichotomy. Like 2010 and 2012. Lock in blow torch when snow is gone. But we’ve seen all the cold locked up recently. We had cold in early December that gave the south shore snow with no snow cover in Canada so it can be done.
-
We’ve had Canada blow torched and managed plenty of snow and even nice events. This year has not featured a decent plunge from north of Hudson Bay where the cold had been enough. We don’t need deep blues up there.
-
It’s the cutters on the gfs.
-
I’ll give him that. But let’s get 100” in less than 4 weeks and no melting.
-
You’re full of shit.
-
To be honest, he’s probably one of the few guys forecasting, temps and snowfall… And he’s been pretty decent overall.
-
Give that man a cheeseburger.
-
Backedgeapproaching already itching to fire it up.
-
I haven’t cared much to follow, but seemed like it back in the Fall despite the calls from some.
-
Will this nino peak under 2.0 in the trimonthlies? Seems like it will. Peaked already.
-
I looked at blue hill which is considered the crème of the crop for obs. Looked at top yearly precipitation.
-
We just had a dry year last year. We also had some serious wet years 2000-2012 too. Hell even the 50s had wet years. I think there’s a little recent confirmation bias coming in.
-
I’m honestly lost when it comes to what to expect. Sure cold pushes can happen, but that -PNA modeled could be quite cold across the CONUS. I don’t think it will last, but it shows signs of lasting at least a week.
-
Yeah can see a flare up in the western IO coming up.
-
I honestly haven’t looked in like over a week. But this season I feel like the MJO/CCKW stuff has had no problem zipping along. Haven’t seen a good stall in awhile.
-
Problem is this is not behaving like the 09-10 event.
