CoastalWx

On the south coast there was

NAM has no idea what to do

Nam looks good

Very close to 12z from what I saw

I don’t think it’s that wet there.

??

Here

How many pics of Dave’s front stairs and dog going out into the snow will we get?

I’ll take the over on that inland, but not bad here.

I meant the SSTs. It’s a tough call on the coast.

You weenies honestly think that’s gonna happen? Lol.

Nice hit.

I think you aren’t giving them enough respect.

La Nino stole our January.

A lot of the snow maps you are seeing are assuming 10 to 1 ratios. That won’t happen if your temps are like 34,35°. Which that could happen for a time. What I have been trying to say, is that you need a good track and a really healthy cold conveyor belt to get higher and totals near the coast. The coast is difficult, because literally one degree could mean the difference of several inches. Right now I’m sort of being a little conservative, but opening up the door for a potential higher amounts. I’ve been down this road before, and been burned before so I’m just keeping an eye out for that.

It’s probably gonna be another 24 hours before we have significant confidence. This set up is really intricate even though it feels like I’ve been saying that for three years now lol. There are short waves all over the place out west, and in the Midwest. Need to resolve how each of those plays apart.

Goes hammer inside 495 into CT

Gfs looks great

Had 4-6 for you.

Looks reasonable to me. It’s still early anyways.

What a whiff lol.

Congrats Block Island.

Going to have to weight for round 2 outside of the interior.

NAM still quite warm inside 495.

Ha, part 1 might whiff.