CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I guess there’s an outside shot of C-1” to the pike, but afraid the low level dry air wins. Maybe eastern PYM county gets some OES, but hi res are really meager all around.
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Yeah it’s a little tenuous so I’d wait. Looks like cirrus tomorrow. Maybe a dusting toward Kevin. Blows.
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Next week is mildly interesting on guidance. Gonna be a SWFE type look verbatim. It’s just a matter of how much cold air we’ll have to work with. Will it be a 35F rain or snow.
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Wind has kicked up. Low 17.
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The EPO in early February has been showing signs of breaking down with the big ridge retrograding into NE Siberia. It might mean the colder look in early Feb is abbreviated, but we’ll see. Hopefully we can get something next week. Friday is toast.
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Soundings were nice here on the nam verbatim.
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NAM was nice on south coast. Mid level goodies get to near pike briefly.
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I think for anything near the pike we’d want to see this whole synoptic precip shield modeled further north. Hopefully we see that on tonight’s models. Otherwise 10kts of 850 inflow won’t cut it.
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You tell me lol.
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wtf logic is that?
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Euro still real paltry on Friday.
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Bristol county loves these patterns.
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It wasn't insurmountable though. 1-3 to the pike wouldn't need much QPF.
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I'm fine...just having fun. Hoping for Ineedsnow's 6-10"
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Just sitting here smiling.
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Eff it. Why not.
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All in on the RAP.
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I just think of March 01 as what could have been.
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Was a great Bliz 2005 AFD too.
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Slightly better on GFS...but not much to show for it.
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Reggie was a little dryer.
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Hopefully the nam is a trend. But as Will said, Bruce Willis and his dry air is a flag too.
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I’m actually more curious about March. I think we’ll need a good March too.
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My reasoning is just based on what I see. Trust me I’m not a guy who always goes with persistence. I’m just calling it as I see it. I know very well. February can be good in an El Niño And as I said, I’m not saying it’s a crap month, I’m just a little unsure how it shakes out.
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That wasn’t directed at you at all. I just don’t have much confidence in February. It doesn’t mean I expect it to be a crap month, I just don’t know. I don’t really see any signs of blocking at least to start out February. I was hoping to see that, but doesn’t look like it for the time being. So, if the Pacific goes to crap, I don’t think it bodes well for us. Just have to hope that we keep a decent Pacific.
