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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Worst back to back seasons or close to it.
  2. Rusty coat hanger since December 2022.
  3. Yeah much better your way with 3” more at 1000ft.
  4. Yeah it’s meh. Maybe a decent band that gets someone near 2”. Then it’s days of showers and 40. Winter is awesome.
  5. A big ridge over us. You also want those blues out of the Davis Straits.
  6. Big change in the EPO region in the 11-15 day. Not sure if it's trend worthy as it's one run, but definitely trying to cool off central and eastern US.
  7. That's typically a great track on Euro guidance but of course the airmass is on fire prior. Kind of has that hang back look for moisture. Probably 3-6 or so verbatim around here.
  8. I'm not grinning. I'll be perfectly honest. It's been taxing.
  9. Hasn't really mattered. You could argue weaker ENSO I guess for colder risks. You're best bet as someone who trades commodities like energy is to time the warm/cold spells during winter vs predicting HDDs for an entire winter.
  10. You'll be more right than wrong though. Just how it is, unless you have a clear signal not to.
  11. If the GFS suite was closer to correct I'd feel better, but that face planted last night. End of 11-15 day did get better on all guidance.
  12. Around 9" I think. If you use the more long term (not 30 yr) probably more mid 40s avg. The only way I may entertain it is if we get 6+ next week. Otherwise I don't see anything that says "wow" to me for a good Feb at the moment. Sure it could happen..but just what I see.
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