CoastalWx

Yeah that's what I was referring to. Starts to cut the torch aloft off.

Seems to be happening.

That ULL in the Midwest is a bit more WSW and weaker vs 12z. So despite initial warm push, lets see if secondary can get going and move towards the globals.

850s are good. Above is the issue.

Half the storm is starting out from a cluster of supercells lol. Good luck modeling that.

I mean globals in general don't handle it well. So that's something to think about. NAM and hi res models handle it better...but we know the NAM can be....well the NAM. Not being negative, just something to think about. It was too warm in the last event too.

I dunno there is also going to be a lot of convection too.

NAM might even be warmer lol.

Under a Gale Watch. Look dangerous. URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 328 PM EDT Mon Apr 1 2024 ANZ230-236-020830- /O.NEW.KBOX.GL.A.0014.240403T1500Z-240404T1800Z/ Boston Harbor-Narragansett Bay- 328 PM EDT Mon Apr 1 2024 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...East winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and waves 4 to 6 feet possible. * WHERE...In Massachusetts coastal waters, Boston Harbor. In Rhode Island coastal waters, Narragansett Bay. * WHEN...From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous waves which could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

It is beautiful!

That went over your head. Thought you knew that one.

It is beautiful!

When did I waffle on a call? Yummy Gummies?

Were you in Wareham?

I would give it more respect vs the Canadian showing it.

Careful, Steve will have none of this.

You guys got about 8-12 or so? I know NE CT did well.

Euro looked like not much of anything in SNE.

Canadian H5 is funny. It's nice and concentric with the ULL in the Midwest and then it's like the PV lobe NE of Maine is the brick that's thrown into a washer machine on spin cycle. Gets all wonky and shoots out a sharp s/w that rips it ENE at hr 84.

It's gonna be white grasshoppers?

GEFS stall it over Moosup. Just sitting there smiling.

If the setup happened like some models had a few days ago it certainly would have done it.

I noticed that earlier when Kevin made that comment. I still don't have a good feel for SNE...maybe nrn ORH could get lucky I guess...perhaps to Ray. It's too bad we lost the synoptic look for a biggie like some of the runs had 2 days ago with the mid levels under us.

GFS redevelops rain/snow again lol. That's an interesting solution.

It's a shame that ULL is such a beast in the MW. The other thing is convection. There is some severe wx progged. Not sure how the globals will handle that..but it's part of the reason why the NAM warm tongue may not be so far fetched...even if off a little.