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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Greta
  2. CoastalWx
    Shear is still impacting this. The oblong shape on satellite is a dead giveaway. The euro seems to show this as it seems like it wants to have an eye open to the SW along its entire journey. Hence the weaker pressure. It will go over explosive fuel, but I’m not sure how shear will try to counteract that. It is important to note that some models are predicting RI. Haven’t had a chance to look at SHIPS guidance, but the 700-500RH and RI statistics are good pieces to look at on SHIPS.
  3. CoastalWx
    Never will understand people who don’t want a nice cool house to live and sleep in.
  4. CoastalWx
    First week? Must be a lot of smelly and sticky sheets. I’ve run it as recently as a few days ago.
  5. CoastalWx
    Yes. Usually wetter and more humid on Christmas.
  6. CoastalWx
    More people hurt by snakes and alligator bites vs storm impacts.
  7. CoastalWx
    Sounds like typical Christmas weather only with lower dews.
  8. CoastalWx
    Probably goes into the most boring place possible over the Big Bend. Yawn.
  9. CoastalWx
    Actually getting a shower now lol
  10. CoastalWx
    You mean we aren’t getting 3-8” like the 12z euro had on Saturday?
  11. CoastalWx
    Stein has come again… Stein!….. Stein!…… Stein!….
  12. CoastalWx
    Yeah not far. I just have too many tree issues when there are leaves on them and wind. But pretty sure I didn’t have 2.3”.
  13. CoastalWx
    1.8 in the gauge. Maybe there was some wind issues with leaves on trees still. I’d buy 2”.
  14. CoastalWx
    I had 1.8” not 3” lol.
  15. CoastalWx
    Yeah, breaks of sun down here too.
  16. CoastalWx
    Just later this week.
  17. CoastalWx
    Looks like 7-8”+ on the other cape and ACK. Crazy.
  18. CoastalWx
    Did you get anything at all last few days?
  19. CoastalWx
    From inches to sprinkles on the euro. What a model.
  20. CoastalWx
    They create more of a slope effect, but you’d likely have a better dynamic environment. For instance maybe you have +10 at 850 SE of ACK but -12C over FIT. Thermo gradients have a constructive feedback where the jet amplifies and therefore the entire low pressure system amplifies too. 300mb jet streaks that lead to intensifying low pressure are directly related to low level temp gradients.
  21. CoastalWx
    I’d have to look more at the mid level features, but in general cold season events extend further west. Advective processes driven by temp gradients will do that. We had some of that today, but you could also see how over the last couple of days, the precip bomb was generally closer to the center where higher low level theta-e is. That’s why sometimes you’ll hear us say how precip modeled in July from low pressure will be closer to the low center.
  22. CoastalWx
    It’s crazy how many trees they killed.
  23. CoastalWx
    Well the last two years have been the snow droughts of all snow droughts. But to Steve’s point, I think tbis would have a great deformation band well inland to 495 or so.
  24. CoastalWx
    Not home but about 1.7” total. Good drink.
  25. CoastalWx
    Inches and inches there
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