CoastalWx

It’s unreal.

Only time I didn't use it during the winter, was during the 6 week snow blitz in 2015. Otherwise I try to dig a path around it to use it. I keep it covered as well.

I love grilling in the winter.

There is a little more skill saying a pattern is unfavorable vs favorable, especially early in the season. A favorable pattern still needs the right track. So while patterns can look favorable, you still can't be sure of a low track within a 50 mile certainty to deliver, 4 weeks out. However, A big ridge in the east on almost all guidance says to me that there is more confidence in saying a pattern is unfavorable. Whether the low tracks over ORD or SYR has the same effect for us vs having something pass at a favorable location with a good antecedent airmass. If that makes sense. Again, not cancelling winter or even December, just not a fan of how things look heading into the beginning of the month. That has no bearing on winter.

I think there is enough skill based on the guidance I see to say with confidence that is doesn't look favorable for the next 4 weeks. Especially SNE. Could we always sneak in something? Sure...but just speaking on a high level.

To be clear I am also more SNE centric. We know even in NNE, unfavorable looks can still deliver.

Nobody has, or will ever like negative takes on this board. I'm not cancelling winter, just not a fan of things heading into December. Hopefully it changes later in the month.

EPO too risky. Give me a +PNA any day.

There has been a semi-permanent ridge north of AK. I suppose that is good to see as you get into the cold season.

Everything looks like crap overall heading into December. I don't see this magical change occurring. Maybe it gets better during the month itself. The overall Pacific has not changed much despite the ENSO shift from Nino.

I'm not spouting hyperbole, just don't like what I see heading into December. Feels like the same shit from last few winters.

Pattern looks like garbage into December.

I'm worried.

New norm has been kicking the can down the road and we'll be doing that into December.

We had some good cold spells, and yeah I remember those Cape biggies, mostly because they porked me lol.

What if it doesn't snow in December?

21 at OWD

30 for the low. We freeze.

Endless warmth on guidance.

We had an early November snow event I think in 2014 where I had a mix here and about 1.5 miles west had like 2” of paste. I remember literally going down my street to take a left and I could see the snow on the trees pasted on a hill a mile away while it was basically a mix here. Same wind direction, NNW. Was actually crazy to see. Same storm brought 2” to my parents in Marshfield on west side of town. That NNW wind direction is off the land for awhile down there so they weren’t directly getting warmth by conduction off the water like I did despite being SE of me. Same reason why in November 2018 I had almost 6” of snow with light ESE winds while Jay in Southie was choking on catpaws. Cool to see these things.

Got to like -11. That probably would have hurt. Only reason why it takes longer to get a freeze here, is being on a small hill and having some flow over the water. If the wind is like 340 like last night the airmass modifies slightly. I only notice it really this time of year when Logan can be colder than here on that wind. I can literally go down the street and it’s several degrees cooler.

I should look into that.

I’m definitely a micro climate. Even the coop a few miles east in Hingham hit the 20s. But still it’s been a torch.

I would love that.

I had rosemary growing all last winter.