CoastalWx
-
Posts
178,469 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CoastalWx
-
That’s next in mesoscale 101
-
This storm does feel like one of those events where it should be widespread good snows. Sure some may get more than others… But I don’t see this as the last four years of haves and have nots that were fairly close to each other. So that’s a good thing.
-
I’m prepping for a phone interview, and he’s asking me about coastal fronts and whether the islands are gonna mix. Lol.
-
I told him don’t worry about NNE. Nobody lives there.
-
Yeah, don’t underestimate that coastal front. Someone to the west of that for about eight hours or so is gonna get slammed.
-
My gut says some CF action tickles you.
-
Honest to God only advice I gave him was the CF.
-
Wow look at those mesoscale features outlined.
-
Looks stronger than modeled right to srn CT coast. Unless it weakens which is possible.
-
Decent band not well modeled. Let’s move it east
-
18z euro AI looks very close to 12z
-
18z AI looks good though
-
18z GFS going flaccid
-
More like 700 low but we don’t have a closed H7 low. Sort of like what Will and Seymournhave said…it’s like ASWFE thump followed by lighter snows.
-
Euro has the 850 low into NY state with the 850 WF just off south coast. You want 12”+ then you really want to see closed 850 to our south. Not always the case…but it’s something to keep in mind and a reality check.
-
Models definitely show that weenie CF enhancement.
-
Exactly. Tons of energy on the backside and all that warmth moving NE slamming into confluence.
-
Nam might have delivered with weenie extrapolation.
-
Guidance is kind of differing between Dave and SNH vs more near MA CT border.
-
I think so. Coast in particular ern MA may have gusts to 30kt a or so. Nothing insane. Perhaps this gets strong if the low comes closer or becomes more intense than currently modeled. Interior west of any CF will have light winds and stack up.
-
There’s gonna be a nasty CF in Essex county.
-
Yeah true up there. Was looking at the stuff from Kev to ORH
-
12z eps maybe a hair wetter be 6z. Pretty consistent through hr 108
-
Some of that is tonight too
-
Waaay too early
