CoastalWx

I think it was a tougher forecast for Boston. I know we talked about ORH county and interior SE MA doing well, but I remember not being sure for Boston regarding getting into the meat of the band. The red flag was the deep VV/RH coming in from the east. IIRC the ensembles were wetter than the op too.

I still am objective when it comes to situations, and itś always easy to be a Monday morning QB, but sometimes you look back and say to yourself.."ḧmm...should have caught that.." Granted it was a tough call right at the coast. As a consolation....some mets really were bearish even as it was snowing that night. It was getting obvious much of the Boston area was going to see a significant snow event the morning of the event on March 7th, but some were barely giving the 128 region, 1-3¨

I went through that March firehose event in 2013. Fun thread. I definitely was bearish on the 6th for my area, but funny how that changed in 24 hrs. Funny looking back at it....I must have still been jaded from 2011-Jan 2013. It was a tough call on the coast, but the firehose still should have been respected. Tough to get a sh*tty event on the coast with good cold at 925mb and a wicked deep layer fetch from the east.

Eff that storm.

He posts on Pete's website where every day it's winter.

84 is close to you. You always mention east of 91 or south of 90. 84 can be the dividing line, but since it's close to you, you tend to leave it out. I know how you work.

Who said north?

Notice how you never see 84 mentioned. It's either 91 or 90.

Barely.

The only thing I can think of, is SE winds aloft and a coastal front? What day was this? I honestly can't picture the setup, Steve. Just asking.

Who threw hot water on your OES?

Jesus Steve. Laugh a little.

Wigwams submerged in drifts.

There have been cave drawings by the Mashantucket Peqout of teepees buried in OES from SE winds.

I know...I don't mean to put salt on the would.

More like Fraud number.

I get more effects from land/sea convergence than he does from noslope at 1k.

You crack me up.

I know he hates when we say that...lol..but it is true.

That was really a firehose band though. I didn't notice any enhancement other than a mesoscale band that probably was nothing to do with low level processes. You are actually at the end of the higher elevations in NE CT so using your logic..you should receive less than Union.

There was no upslope really.

In a way, a little mid level magic for that storm as well. It was certainly cold just off the deck. Those plots from the RAP that aftn were awesome. We were talking about those that day and they nailed it...even more than other guidance IIRC. Good storm all around, but man...that dryslot in RI. I think I remember Ekster posting an AWIPS graphic of the RAP and it showed a semblance of the subsidence zone. Must have been one of the deep easterly flow, standing wave features where the lift occurs along the coast and the exhaust is 40 or 50 miles downstream..only to pick up again further west. I think some of that snow in srn CT was also caught in a mini deformation zone in between s/w's. Anyways, not to make Ryan and Cory drive into the CT river...just was an interesting storm.

LOL, yep..what a disaster forecast from the NAM. That storm certainly had some red flags for a bust on the snowier side. As you said, respect the firehose.

That was a tough storm to forecast in Boston. I certainly did not think we would get that much on the coast, but when the euro was bullish on actual CAA from the NE at 925mb...I started to believe the day before. The deep 700-500 RH/VV also was another clue. Certainly a lesson learned on the coast. I will say that some OCMs went down with their ship right up to game time. Rip and reading NAM and GFS.

What a swan dive for RI.