CoastalWx

Probably a pattern more for you into NNE next two weeks I think. At least that’s what I would favor.

He might be right

But yeah I see what you mean, Will. Maybe timing issues.

Oh I don’t mean a closed block or anything, just a semblance of a ridge....some sort of curvature. Even with a smoothed out mean. I think we have ridging, just not sure how strong.

Yeah that’s what I hope, we get a decent block there. Going to need strong blocking too until Pacific gets better.

Well I explained it a few days ago. But basically the warm pacific air causes the heights to be well above normal. So as a result you get those big reds and whites that look like Massive + anomalies. But, you can tell it may be sort of masking what may be occurring, because there is no anticyclonic curvature. The key to seeing this, are the more zonal looking height lines as shown below. Ryan also said this too. Imo, there is ridging, however I’m not sold on it looking as strong as it shows based on those height anomalies. This actually is common in El Niño’s. So we’ll see as we get closer. I know it may be a smoother out mean beyond 10 days, but I am keeping an eye on it. Just something to watch.

Getting back to the blocking, I’m still thinking the pacific air may be creating a false blocking signal, or at least making it look stronger than it might be. On the EPS, I still don’t see a big stout anticyclone up near the Davis Straits. I’m not saying it’s completely gone, just that I’m not sold on a big block yet. The Pacific, however, is improving quite a bit.

18z nam a little more snowier near MA/NH border.

This place makes me Laugh. Hopefully we get more to track soon.

Needs some work with the warm tongue above it, but some more sleet and snow for Dave and Ray. Hippy too.

That’s how I see it for near 90 in north? I’m not sure it matters much in CT. Not for a two day event anyways.

You’re struggling for half inch QPF in some areas and a 6-9 hr burst of precip with light stuff after. You really need a much longer duration.

This was always more of a pike north issue and even so, that area won’t have huge impacts to things like trees wires etc. My thoughts have not changed for days.

Huh? This is no big deal 84 on down. I don’t see a multi day ice threat with crippling effects. And also, not sure why this was a competition.

Ray may get his wet snow crusher on the ukie and gfs para. We

Seems like the trend overall is colder. Just need to get a good initial thump.

Weak sauce front end. Definitely not reggie like.

It could be icy there? The problem I think with you is that winds sort of go more east and it warms up quite a bit aloft. So you’ll glaze, but then probably go to a 33 rain as we don’t have a good mechanism to keep the cold in.

Reggie is pretty cold. Man 2010 MLK meltdown cutoff there.

Ray might benefit from latitude. Maybe a little snow and sleet pack? He says he doesn’t care, but he’ll be texting us pics of his yard lol.

Nope. I don’t see that. Back to mud.

It’s a crappy pattern, but getting better. You still can get snow in a crappy pattern with our climo.

Looks like some snow tonight and then again from whatever happens 1-2. Much needed.

Too bad the high retreats because that would be a classic SWFE. Pretty much has the classic ingredients, except it rapidly warms aloft in SNE.

We kid.