CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Yeah it always happens, but to me sometimes it seems like it may occur more in Spring because we lack the good thermal gradients to keep the conveyor belts going.
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I need to look back, but I don’t think it was phasing as much? I just glanced at 500. My experience just says guidance is usually not in good agreement even 60hrs when it comes to late season cyclogenesis. The last few storms have been true to this. I think the reasons above all help to combine. Hopefully the euro helps settle it.
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It’s real hard to get a wrapped up low this time of year unless dynamics are insane. You do have good dynamics and thermal gradients in this instance....but it’s not the same as winter. Plus convection can affect the moisture transport to wrap around.
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I would expect this solution from NAM. Weird to see the gfs do this.
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Meh, if it's going to ruin the weekend, it better be more than flakes.
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NAM is pretty meh. Certainly not wrapped up like the gfs or 18z euro was.
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I’m not sure there is support for 3-4” near Kevin. Maybe 1 or 2 the most? I know it’s dependent on a lot of factors, but that’s how I see it.
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Might bring it down a bit.
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Looks like close to .15” last night. 39 for low.
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As long as no front hang up which is possible. Otherwise, yeah it would be 70s in the lower spots. Lets hope so. I'm done with this.
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The intensity
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Euro goes apeshit with that low.
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Euro is congrats Mitch to Maine. Definitely not buying the American guidance.
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Euro or bust.
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Wiz gone wild
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All down the drain from here. Cute solution.
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It’s May.
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Brian wanted it.
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It’s gonna happen somewhere. You actually may be in a decent spot as far as low elevations go.
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Euro still more western areas into NNE. Looks like it would flip in many areas though right at the end.
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Yeah with leaves 2-3” of paste would be an issue. Otherwise, it wouldn’t do much.
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Still BN on the EPS in the 11-15
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It’s rare to get 30s here this late in the season. Looks like more to come.
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36.9 but some frost on rooftops.
