CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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FWIW (and it isn't much) but the 6z euro op was definitely colder through hr 90 vs hr 96 on the euro.
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It did seem like a subtle trend to get the ULL north. The euro op and EPS were pretty good, but the trend was there. Another step and it's a cold rain. It's such a marginal airmass.
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LOL, There are a lot of things to work out. I don't see much agreement.
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There was massive shadowing.
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18z EPS is pretty good. Interior especially.
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We have deep layer erly flow with the potential H5 low going under us and HP to the north. 92 had that, but it was on roids.
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I’m not saying it couldn’t slow down and cause copious amounts of precip, but it’s not nearly as impressive as ‘92. I hate when that analog is thrown around. That was a special event.
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What shows 3-5” and CF?
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Of course the only thing missing is 5-8” QPF, severe coastal flooding, and hurricane force winds.
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Yeah you were close to a bomb. Almost like latitude matters more on this run. You’d crush tolland. But this will change.
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That’s definitely a fun run for SNH. Right at the pivot.
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Yeah post away NFL pics. That shit is epic.
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Wish we were there
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EPS is definitely more favorable vs op, especially interior.
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Dam Hadley cell.
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It really is. If you want something to go right, that surely isn’t the environment you want.
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The euro did get a little mild at 925 across a chunk of SNE when the arc of moisture swings through. Hopefully the 12z eps look better.
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Many would be happy with a cross between 6z eps and gfs op.
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We’ve only just begun. They’ll be a lot of changes I think over the next few days. Perhaps changes is a bit too aggressive wording....more like enough changes in a marginal setup to see a variety of solutions.
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Or Canadian. Exactly what I mentioned earlier this morning of what you don’t want to see.
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That’s a lot of lift under the DGZ in a marginal airmass. Not the greatest sounding. Anyways another solution.
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Welcome to my childhood.
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The Hudson Bay ridging should nullify a cutter potential. Good news there.
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Just starts 6 days. Same thing. I don’t see confidence quite yet given this setup. It has potential, but I’m not sure I would say what region is favored. Given this winter’s behavior and all the pieces not even close to being resolved, lots of questions.
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It’s a week out. Nobody is favored. There are so many things to figure out.
