CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Sneaky mild today.
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Maybe we can tickle that a little further NW, but I think we have it narrowed down.
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Actually got the heavier stuff a bit NW of 6z.
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Sort of expanded the precip shield a bit.
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Man gfs has a blob just south of LI and goes over the cape. Just get that a smidge NW.
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That was the storm Will told me that it’s a wonderful life and it’s not worth it.
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This is why we love cold highs. But I guess this will do.
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The mesos have it into NJ and then SE NY and western SNE before moving it east. I still wonder if that stuff near far SE areas also has a bigger convective element. Almost like a thump.
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Reggie is pretty nice from TAN on SE. Nice band sig there.
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Reggie looks like the HRRR.
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I said this before, but anecdotally...I feel like this year has shown a lack of consistency with model solutions within 48 hrs or less.
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Probably has 6"+ of glacier on the ground too.
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Never looks good to say we deserve it and you don’t. I think many forget how good we’ve had it. Short memories.
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The 3” of glacier aside from sunny areas hasn’t changed much since that storm. But man go 1-2 miles more inland and it’s a decent man pack.
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I just mean it’s another piece of the puzzle. The NAM wouldn’t change my thinking. Need to see what other guidance does.
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Napeuary sun already doing its dirty work on exposed areas.
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Mets do.
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It will be above 32 when it starts there. But chilly aloft so should cool quick.
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HRRR is like 2-4". LOL.
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Passed down from Mark Twain?
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Coast will waste a little QPF wetbulbing so shave off a tad for that. Temps will be 34-35 when snow starts.
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Might have to watch the H7 WF with those lapse rates. Not really a slot either with this.
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Steep lapse rates too.
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Actually that has a large cross hairs sig if I play around. Love for many.
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BDL to Ray deffy band,
