CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Lavablizz?
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You may need to talk to a professional.
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Some downpours heading towards Tblizz. Stein getting some stab wounds.
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I mean if the model was meant for Europe...lol. But it is a global model and track means everything. I feel like I did hear something about that too....but I can also tell you it seems to be whiffing on some synoptic stuff here as well. We'll see what happens in the winter. Maybe it gets its swag back.
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I haven't heard that, but I'm not sure I get that logic. From a public standpoint and a decision support stand point, I'm not sure why you sacrifice skill on events like tropical cyclone landfalls that can have a huge impact on the population where they make landfall. Yay, congrats on nailing the -RA on Seattle at day 5.
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We have an interesting model battle on our hands this winter. The NAM and GFS seem to be ever so slowly improving. RGEM is basically a NFL kicker. May make a 62 yd field goal on one try and miss an extra point the next. Euro has been pretty bad in certain situations this summer.
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Further east than 6z, which fits the pattern. My guess is they'll get a decent slug with the front like other guidance shows.
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Basically the whole system is more progressive than modeled two days ago. We no longer have two real distinct and separate s/w's. We know that happens in winter when always talk about which one will be the primary driver. That said..I don't see why someone can't pull 2-4" near the front and than 0.5" to 1" further east with renegade cells.Friday offers another chance. People need to see the forest through the trees and recognize the pattern change to more active. Stein is gone.
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You need to move that image of him over BOS to the SW over TAN.
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80. El torcho.
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So because the model has shat the bed some many times this summer, we can see more of it. it's not the king like it used to be. We'll see how it does this winter.
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Ray is not impressed.
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Since when did 0.5-1" of rain get scoffed at? Are we expecting the deficit be gone in a matter of hours? These next two weeks are active.
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You're in a good spot. Relax.
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I feel like models are sort of differing how to handle that second vort that was supposed to be separate, and now phasing in.
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Looks like 3K NAM is a little more wet with lots of cells ahead of main line. Regular NAM has like 70kts at 925 over ern areas.
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Excellent Okay Okay.
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I thought it went to 84 hrs already by changing the URL.
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1" over parched ground is a lot better than 4" in a matter of hours.
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Maybe ctrl and ern areas too. You borderline.
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Cool and comfy?
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This time of year, a half inch will turn Taunton into a jungle.
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It's all IMBY. If 30% of the people get under an inch they claim it's Stein. Do you know how hard it is to really get 3-4" of rain in less than a day? 0.5" or more is a good soaking. Lots of chances the next 2 weeks.
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Definitely a wind issue and maybe spinner Wednesday.
