Jump to content

CoastalWx

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    171,991
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. No that would be Friday night. I think it stays just offshore, but you could get clipped. There is something late tomorrow night into Thursday morning across ern areas, but you are on the ptype line.
  2. Euro has temps near 40 in SNH tomorrow. Maybe it's trying to show some brightening in the overcast there? It could be one of those things where when the precip stops, temp warm up a tad across the area. Not sure it will be that warm, but something to note.
  3. This seems reasonable for SNE. Still not sure if that area of 4-6 is that widespread 72 hrs from now, but certainly ORH hills could see this. It just depends on how some of these trough features work out and also how much of a push is the WAA burst tonight.
  4. Yeah there isn’t really a reason to diagnose banding or dynamics. That will change on the op runs. The ensembles have a nice signal and that’s all you can ask for.
  5. I think 3-6 is pushing it. 6z euro backed off a bit too. 2-4" with some areas getting more.
  6. Looks fine to me. 2-4 with some areas getting more in localized spots.
  7. Yeah I saw. It seemed to start this morning from what I noticed. Weird.
  8. Something seems wrong with the NAM. It has holes in the sim reflectivity over areas that don’t move and make no sense at all from a meteorological standpoint.
  9. I’ve been called son of a something. Lol.
  10. It’s a special type of inv trough. What you guys are mentioning is more of an inv trough feature and not a NORLUN. In any case, we’ll have to see how that sets up. Guidance is not totally in agreement which isn’t surprising.
  11. You guys don’t quite understand what a NORLUN is.
  12. Yep, especially those areas. That might be James best shot at decent snows. Although he might grab a couple at the onset.
  13. We’ll watch for a CJ in the later frames around here.
  14. We’ll have to see how that initial thump band does. Maybe it can give the s coast love.
  15. It's possible it gets cruddy a bit after the initial thump in the srn areas and the more prominent bursts have better flakes and then gets snizzle or a little FZDZ near the warmer intrusion over the s coast. I could see that.
  16. I look at it when it gets closer, but JMO...seems to be too juicy. 00z and 12z tomorrow would be better IMO.
  17. Meh, take the under on some of that. I just find it too QPF loaded 48+ hrs out.
  18. It's always too aggressive this far out. Haven't been a big fan this season.
  19. Not a lot of QPF either, but whatever this far out.
  20. Classic look at H5 in the Midwest at hr 168. We'll see what the lobe over us does. It starts to move out.
×
×
  • Create New...