CoastalWx

An op run? Lol.

Jesus Christ, change your fooking maxi pad and give it a day.

I want to see lava rock screwed.

I’ll take white claws and thongs On Tuesday if I can keep snow Friday.

Depends where you are

Ahh defense mechanism up.

Gulf low, SE ridge, blocking not here. Makes sense.

There were lots of red flags. 12z nam got me excited, but every other model wasn’t so enthusiastic. I would wait a day though. Maybe you get only 3-4 hrs above freezing. I said a number of times guidance was not pressing the cold like you see in good icing events. RAP and 12Z NAM did, but maybe that wasn’t correct. We’ll see.

I said unless 00z runs get bullish like that. Go euro!

Trend is not your friend.

Time to embrace the torch.

Deep down he’s probably good for a siggy icing event. Unless 00z runs come in as a furnace.

I mean Kevin is on the edge there, so confidence higher NE.

The person who hypes everything and anything? Yep.

Typically union north.

As usual, because you aren’t in a good climo big ice spot, it’s good to put you in a lower confidence area.

I agree Tip. I mentioned that yesterday and how it wasn’t a fresh airmass. The 09z RAP and 12Z NAM did change that and allow more of a press and ageo flow into SNE, but other models backed off. So while I’m not as warm as some of the guidance, they might be hinting at something. Which is why I think highwr confidence in ice might be NW CT into ORH on N and NE. But it’s possible guidance trends a little colder. This isn’t like the day before MLK 2019 event where we had Ray at 12F and the Arctic hounds ready to storm eastern areas.

3” ice

I reserve the right to change that.

So you locking in upper 20s and ZR the whole time?

Let’s go gfs

They just did break freezing.

I guess we hope for Thursday after Tuesday's mess.

He’s probably in a good spot for now.