CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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Because I enjoy winter and forecasting. It’s refreshing.
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Try going through 3 years of shut outs and get back to me.
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Lol
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Also the pna will drop. Yes it probably means more storm Chances which I guess is good. But it means some other risks too. Just hope the 11th comes back. I’m just beyond frustrated for 3 years now.
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They’ll be 12” or a bit more nearby.
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At least it’s been fun posting in the MA thread about winter.
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This pattern blows. Absolutely blows. There is nothing worse than cold and dry. Maybe it gets better, but this is terrible.
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Nice thing about this for you guys is that the snow will stay. Good timing for this. Big win.
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At least we get a cutter in a couple of weeks and a warm up for Feb. Patience.
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I still think nrn MD is the jack zone for now although I realize some of the guidance is south. Just going by how these trend and mid level features. We’ll see what 12z does. Either way a solid hit in the DC-BWI metro for sure. There will be a narrow area of 12+ I think.
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No wind here, just another useless winter day. Already notice sunsets later so end is nearing.
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Lame
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Thunder with that stuff
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Like I said earlier, it's the NAM beyond 36 hrs out lol. You have a big block that is just north of New England. It's not going to launch 150miles north at this stage. But I know for those on the line, any subtle shift matters. NAM solution is viable to me though. Definitely in the range of possibilities and I always watch for a shift north from now until go-time.
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NAM is precip happy though. I'd keep that in mind. Normally I'd peg the zone of S+ much farther north given mid level track, but strong 850-700 fronto may keep the snow max a little south of where one might expect. I still think nrn MD to far srn PA may be jack for now.
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That's a sweet look just north of DC proper. But DC certainly gets it good.
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Yeah as the mid level low moves in it cools aloft. Cool sequence there. I'm jelly.
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That's sleet at DC proper hr 75. Pull up a soundings. Lose the lift and moisture near the DGZ and it tips. But not after a dumping.
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Verbatim DC is close to if not briefly IP, but then after hr 66, VVs near the DGZ seem to help battle the warm layer.
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The NAM can still be wonky this far out, but it has a history of sniffing out the warm tongues. At least my experience up here. The warm layer is at like 750mb.
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Nope. Except Brett.
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A big 1” and Change here. Been the epicenter of your cosmic dildo last 3 winters. Haven’t had a snowfall much greater than 3” since 2022. Chew on that.
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Me looking at the models.
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Hopefully the block strengthens and we can wrap in WAA precip from the northeast. Sorry Tamarack.
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Well Nina Feb, but maybe this one is different. I honestly don’t know and haven’t looked.
